The Minimum Wage Hike

California’s minimum wage went up to $20/hr. for fast food restaurants with at least 60 locations nationwide that do not make bread. This law is causing widespread unintended consequences. For example, Fosters Freeze in Lemoore closed suddenly after the wage hike. Mod 5 Pizza is closing five locations. There are widespread price increases including at In n Out, Burger King and more. Significant layoffs are also occurring at restaurants like Pizza Hut, Round Table Pizza, and Auntie Anne’s as companies determine how to deal with the wage hikes while maintaining profit levels. Some franchise owners are “on the move” to states with less regulation such as Nevada. It will also negatively impact manufacturing and supply chain as companies compete for resources and increase prices. The Skills Gap and misalignment of high-skilled and low-skilled jobs will worsen.

More Shortages & Sky High Prices…..NOT Chocolate!

The price of cocoa has doubled in the last year. After three years of poor cocoa harvests with a weak outlook, the supply of cocoa has been slashed. Thus, prices are escalating and shortages are becoming widespread. Processing plants are saying they cannot afford to purchase the beans. For example, 60% of the world’s coca is produced in Africa’s the Ivory Coast and Ghana, and these plants have stopped or cut processing. Unfortunately, there is a massive misalignment of demand and supply which is creating supply chain shortages and causing inflationary pressures. In addition, substitutes are starting to occur. To read more about persistent shortages, see our article, “Supply Chain Shortages Remain a Concern“.

Egg Inflation

The largest producer of fresh eggs, Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. temporarily shut down one of its facilities due to the bird flu. It also resulted in the depopulation of 1.6 million hens. These issues are bound to lead to further price increases. Egg prices increased over 8% in the last month, have more than doubled since before the pandemic, and are bound to go even higher as potential shortages loom. What is the bottom line? Supply and demand misalignment is creating havoc throughout the supply chain.

It Isn’t All About Food

Oil and gas prices are increasing again, which will have an impact on countless products from medical devices to electronics and industrial machinery. Since the supply chain has been thrust into chaos throughout the world (listen to our recent Supply Chain Chats on what’s going on in the global supply chain), container shipping rates are increasing. And after the recent bridge collapse in Baltimore, the automobile supply chains have been disrupted, and it is likely to lead to inflationary pressures. No matter the product, supply chain risks have been heightened.

How to Navigate

Unfortunately, there is no easy answer and magic wand to resolve the shortages and realign demand with supply. On the other hand, the focus of SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) is to align demand with supply and provide the visibility and insights to proactively navigate these rough waters. For example, clients are reallocating capacity among production facilities, making make vs buy decisions, offloading to supplement short-term spikes in demand, and maximizing customer and product profitability with a SIOP process. To learn more about these strategies, download our complimentary book, SIOP: Creating Predictable Revenue and EBITDA Growth.

In addition, there is no doubt the proactive clients are finding ways to leverage ERP systems and advanced technologies to automate, digitize and better navigate these trying circumstances. For example, a healthcare products manufacturer is using artificial intelligence and robotics to produce standard product with minimal resources so that they can dedicate their high-skilled talent to their complex product lines supporting aerospace and defense. Another client is pursuing additive manufacturing/ 3D printing to get a leg up on the competition and bring down lead times to support growth plans. There is plenty of opportunities if you look for them!

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
How Do You Rate in Your Supply Chain?

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The Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse

Horribly, a container ship collided with the Francis Scott Key Bridge, and much of the bridge collapsed. Cars went into the water, and it has become a deadly disaster. Our thoughts go out to the families impacted.

As we commented in Inc., from a supply chain point of view, it has caused significant near-term impacts and extended disruptions in the region. Transportation bottlenecks immediately emerged. Container ships, trucks, and rail were all impacted.

Port Impacts

It just so happens that the collapse of the bridge cut off the Baltimore port by in essence setting up a wall between the port and the Chesapeake Bay. The bridge’s collapse means that for the foreseeable future, it won’t be feasible to get to the container terminals. The port is likely to remain closed for several months and traffic diverted. This port is the 5th largest container port on the U.S. East Coast and the busiest port in the region for handling roll-on/ roll-off cargo such as cars, light trucks, construction and farm equipment, and more. The port also handled sugar, furniture, home appliances, coal, and other items.

Near-term, container ships will be diverted to nearby ports such as New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Virginia ports. There will be delays, congestion, and diversions. Most likely, these delays will be relatively short-term as they are absorbed to nearby ports; however, it is another disruption in the global supply chain with short-term and long-term implications. As we communicated in a recent article on the impacts of the drought conditions in the Panama Canal and container ship attacks in the Suez Canal (both impacting shipments from Northeast Asia to the East Coast), this is an additional disruption at the East Coast ports. Thus, some shippers are likely to divert to the West Coast ports and rail or truck product to the East Coast.

Regional Logistics Impacts

There are 3,200 sites involved in logistics, distribution and warehousing nearby the port and bridge. Thus, there will be severe near-term disruption in the region. The timing will be heavily dependent on how quickly the debris can be cleared to restore safe passage in the area. Some experts believe this task could be accomplished in the next 1-2 weeks whereas others say it could take months. With that said, with the ports closed and diversions underway, it will take time for the supply chain to level out.

Trucking Impacts

According to the American Trucking Associations (AMA), almost 4,900 trucks travel the bridge each day, with $28 billion in goods crossing each year. There are alternate routes; however, there are issues associated with several of the options. For example, the two tunnel options to cross Baltimore harbor cannot carry hazardous materials, and there are height and width restrictions on the tunnels. Thus, trucks will be diverted on I-695 on the western side of the city. These diversions will cause additional delays, diversions, and cost.

Industry Impacts

The auto industry will experience the most significant impacts because the Baltimore port is the top American port for the import and export of cars. BMW, Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz have facilities close to the port to handle vehicle shipments, and Mazda is had the highest dollar value of imports. The auto industry supply chain will be resilient but it will be another disruption after finally returning inventory to pre-pandemic levels.

The energy industry might experience disruption as well. There could be a disruption in coal supplies, gasoline and ethanol. The oil industry will have to find alternate routes for barge deliveries and/or pursue alternate modes of transportation (trucking). CSX transports imported coal and is communicating expected delays.

SIOP & Backups

It is quite clear that a single backup is no longer sufficient. You must proactively plan for likely risks and think 3 steps ahead of your competition to succeed in today’s global supply chain. SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) is a process to align demand with supply. It provides visibility across the supply chain so that companies can take proactive actions to mitigate risks, source backup sources of supply, and pivot with changing circumstances. For example, there is significant regional manufacturing, reshoring, and nearshoring occurring. To learn more about these strategies, download our complimentary book, SIOP: Creating Predictable Revenue and EBITDA Growth.

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
How Do You Rate in Your Supply Chain?

The post The Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse & Impacts in the Supply Chain appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Manufacturers wish they left supply chain shortages behind after the pandemic, but they remain top of mind. Concerns remain. According to KPMG, “71% of global companies highlight raw material costs as their number one supply chain threat for 2023.” And the trend isn’t ceasing. According to a survey by LeanDNA and Wakefield Research, supply chain shortages remain a leading concern for manufacturers as they look to the future.”

In fact, if you look at the pharmaceutical industry, shortages have been creating havoc. For example, there have been shortages of over-the-counter drugs and prescription medications for ADHD, cancer and diabetes have been widespread. There has been commentary about a spike in demand, but there are also comments about manufacturing delays. Of course, this is before we discuss the state of logistics disruption.

In addition to product, material and healthcare shortages, clients are experiencing a severe shortage of high-skilled talent and are struggling to upgrade ERP systems and related technologies. These issues are aggravating the shortage situation as multiple clients have the lack of system support creating further shortages and work stoppage in addition to frustrating their employees.

It is simply creating havoc as people jump into jobs they are not prepared to execute, and Executives are struggling to understand why their resources no longer seem to have the expertise they used to have. Worse yet, if they don’t realize this is occurring, the situation gets worse as employees make poor decisions and struggle to keep up. Refer to our article, Where the Talent Has Gone & Strategies for Success.

Strategies for Success

Customers will not suffer endlessly as shortages persist. They will find alternative sources of supply, source from different regions of the world, find backup sources, search for suppliers that can provide visibility and status of the end-to-end supply chain and invest in reshoring, nearshoring, and expanding regional manufacturing footprints.

Thus, proactive executives are getting ahead of these challenges. We have no doubt that the companies that can supply critical items in the next several years with uninterrupted supply will lead their industries for decades to come. What are some of the best practice strategies being deployed?

1. Go back to the basics: It is simply surprising how many clients are running into problems with the fundamentals. Who knew a best practice was to return to basics! According to a leading authority on the subject of generational diversity in the workplace, the younger generations is struggling with ambiguity and decision making. This has proven to be “on the mark” as clients have employees stuck and struggling as they don’t know why the computer is spitting out answers that are wrong and what to do about it. Thus, we are jumping in to define processes, educate on concepts and help clients over this unexpected bottleneck. Perform a supply chain assessment to quickly size up where to focus. Take our complimentary supply chain assessment quiz.
2. Planning best practices: There is no doubt that production planning, materials management, replenishment planning, and each planning expertise is in limited supply yet is cornerstone to mitigating shortages and getting in front of demand. Refer to recent examples of how this topic can make or break success in our recent article.
3. SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning): One of the single best strategies to get in front of changing conditions and ensure profitable growth is to rollout a SIOP process. A SIOP process will align Sales with Operations, demand with supply, and, most importantly, it will provide a proactive view into changing circumstances with recommended solution options, impacts on product and customer profitability, heads up to capacity bottlenecks, and sales funnel changes. Read our book, SIOP: Creating Predictable Revenue and EBITDA Growth.
4. ERP, advanced technologies & automation: No client will succeed with manual spreadsheets long-term. The most successful clients are better utilizing their ERP systems to provide enhanced visibility, flexibility, and service while also pursuing advanced technologies (digital twins, artificial intelligence, IoT, robotics, meta) and automation to improve efficiencies, reduce errors, and increase scalability and profitability.
5. Innovation: Continuous improvement is no longer enough. Only those companies that innovate and turn 1+1 into 22 with collaborative partnerships will succeed.
6. Trends & Metrics: Although it is essential to review progress and results by tracking key performance indicators like OTIF (on-time-in-full), production output, and inventory turns, it is even more important to be focused on “where the puck is going” (not where it has been). Tracking trends, listening to diverse perspectives, researching and trialing new and potential trends is the focus of our most successful clients.
7. Regional manufacturing: Although this topic should arise through your SIOP process, our money is on regional manufacturing. Clients must take control over their ability to service customers. Reshoring, nearshoring, expanding manufacturing and collaborative partnerships are hot topics. For example, even industries such as medical device, pharmaceutical, and computer chips are joining aerospace, food & beverage, industrial equipment, and building products to produce close to customers.
8. Talent: We’d be remiss not to mention that talent will “win” in the end. Attract, hoard, develop, train, and mentor talent!

Shortages are persisting. Geopolitical tensions remain high. Critical supplies such as computer chips, medical supplies, and aerospace and defense products are providing evidence that it isn’t just a lack of “nice-to-have” items. Pursue strategies to ensure you are ahead of the curve, and your business will thrive.

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
Why Manufacturing Matters and Will Thrive in the Next Decade

The post Supply Chain Shortages Remain a Concern: Strategies for Success appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Manufacturing Matters – Safety & Security

Manufacturing promotes safety and security and mitigates risk. Controlling your supply chain and mitigating geopolitical risk can become paramount overnight as geopolitical events occur, natural disasters emerge, and supply chain challenges arise (strikes, disruptions, shortages). These types of issues have been increasingly concerning with recent events.

For example, the war in the Middle East has caused disruptions in the Suez Canal. Container ships are being diverted and traveling around the southern tip of Africa, adding 10,000 miles and 7-10 days. This situation delays critical supplies and causes further inflation with increased costs. Additionally, the reason China has been threatening Taiwan is partially to gain control over 90% of the world’s advanced computer chips that go into everything from medical devices to critical infrastructure.

During the pandemic, the U.S. discovered it was dependent on China for critical supplies and everyday necessities. Not only can a worldwide pandemic cause disruptions of these supplies, but country specific policies can dictate whether your supply will be cut off. For example, China rolled out zero COVID policies, directly impacting production and shipping to the U.S. China could prioritize who received limited supplies.

China also wants to control the Red Sea and could decide to cut off supplies produced in other Asian countries in the region. Clearly China thinks manufacturing is essential to national security. For example, their shipbuilding capabilities are over 200 times greater than the U.S. According to the Maritime Executive, China produces more than half of all new tonnage in the world. These types of statistics are gravely concerning and the proactive will build capabilities.

Manufacturing Will Thrive in the Next Decade

As companies realize they must gain control over their supply chain to better support customers, reshoring and regional expansion of manufacturing capabilities will soar. Additionally, the cost has come into alignment for non-commodity products if you evaluate the total cost to produce, ship, store, protect, etc., China won’t have the advantage. Piles of inventory tying up cash unnecessarily are no longer acceptable, especially as customer needs change rapidly, increasing the risk of obsolescence. As interest rates soar, this situation is untenable.

Customers are not willing to accept prolonged periods of delays and stock outs. Thus, they are taking control of their supply chain and focusing on manufacturing capabilities. In addition, companies must prioritize customers and address proactively with strategic pricing and capacity decisions. Thus, smart companies are utilizing a SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) process to proactively navigate these changing circumstances to maintain high levels of customer service, profitability, and working capital results. SIOP will bring visibility to customer and product profitability, sourcing decisions, make vs buy alternatives, capacity bottlenecks and more.

The proactive will thrive and have more opportunities than ever expected. In fact, they will be in the catbird seat. The rest will continually struggle and weaken. With the significant skills gap (refer to our recent article on where the talent has gone), the proactive executives are hoarding the “best of the best” (employees, trusted advisors, suppliers, etc.). Are you prepared to thrive?

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
SIOP/ S&OP: Proactive Approach to Maximizing Production Output and Capacity

The post Why Manufacturing Matters & Will Thrive in the Next Decade appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Enterprise resource planning systems, CRMs and other tech such as RFID, barcoding, customer and supplier portals, blockchain, IoT, and GPS tracking all support this goal.

Modern ERP systems are no longer just about transactional processes and standard business processes. They are now pivotal in meeting customer requirements, supporting automation, and integrating other essential technologies like AI, IoT, CRM and e-commerce.

Companies must stand out from the crowd with a superior customer experience to sustain profitable growth during these turbulent times; however, service alone will no longer suffice. Companies must contain cost and mitigate risk. ERP and related technologies are key to achieving these objectives.

During these turbulent times of supply chain disruptions, geopolitical risk, and stubborn inflation, companies must take bold action to mitigate risk, stabilize the supply chain, provide a customer service edge, and contain costs. As wars rage across the world, geopolitical risk has skyrocketed. If there is a disruption at one node in the end-to-end supply chain, the disruption can ripple throughout the entire chain. Executives realize that the risk is simply too high to count on the supply chain remaining stable without securing and gaining visibility to their full supply chain.

Similarly, as the world struggles with limited resources, high inflation and interest rates, there is an intense focus on cash flow and cost containment. Only those companies that automate, digitize, and utilize advanced technologies across their supply chains will be able to support customer requirements while maintaining and increasing profitability, productivity, and working capital. This will become even more critical as those companies that do not invest in their future will not be able to meet customers’ needs, leaving a vast opportunity for those ready to scale and meet customer requests.

Not enough to use your old ERP in new ways

Better utilizing an old ERP system will no longer suffice. To stand out from the crowd, you must go beyond these fundamentals and offer a differentiated or personalized customer experience.

For example, your ERP system must allow for progressive e-commerce capabilities that support not only B2C consumer expectations but also provides advantages for B2B customer ordering and status visibility with ease and effectiveness. Your ERP system should support customer personalization as well as product and service customization.

Similarly, a customer relationship management (CRM) system should be robust in tracking your pipeline, building relationships, and providing relevant insights and statistics of where to focus. Our most successful clients focus on analyzing CRM data, forecasting future customer needs, and utilizing these insights to build customer relationships.

The best clients combine CRM with a powerful business intelligence system to create predictive analytics and assess what if scenarios. The best companies connect directly with their customers’ data and provide proactive insights and differentiated value to their customers.

In addition to gaining sales, companies should utilize ERPs to take customer service to the next level with collaborative customer ordering programs and vendor managed inventory programs. By utilizing demand planning and sales forecasting including the use of AI and predictive analytics as well as replenishment planning and advanced planning functionality, clients can solidify their preferred partner status.

For example, a health care products manufacturer grew the business by outperforming their key customer’s resources in determining what to stock where. Not only did they increase their customer’s fill rate and shorten lead times, but they also reduced their customer’s inventory levels. The customer responded by expanding business and suggesting additional opportunities. In addition, the manufacturer reduced inventory levels and improved their production, warehousing, and transportation efficiencies. Profitability and cash flow increased.

Manufacturer technology that supports supply chain visibility

End-to-end supply chain visibility is essential to responding quickly to changing conditions and in providing Amazon-like status updates to your customers. Several technologies support this type of visibility, including RFID, barcoding, customer and supplier portals, blockchain, IoT, GPS tracking, and more. Smart companies are collaborating with supply chain partners to gain access to status information and to connect, plan, and optimize efficiencies across their supply chain.

For example, if you know the status of key materials, you can better plan production to minimize costs while meeting customer expectations. If you know the status of incoming goods, you can optimize truckloads and modes of transportation to mitigate costs while improving delivery performance.

The metaverse can bring together what customers ask for with what customers need. In essence it can accelerate your SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) process. In a metaverse collaborative room, any set of customers, consumers, and suppliers can meet virtually to review sales forecasts, projected production plans, and possible supplier/capacity limitations that could affect manufacturing volume. They also can visualize an immersive supply chain network map, see where inventory is, identify issues, and model possible solutions. These types of proactive solutions will upgrade your ability to secure your supply chain, enhance margins, and provide end-to-end visibility.

The ever-increasing importance of automation

In addition to automating repetitive tasks, ERP systems and related technologies can keep facilities running at night without people. Since most clients have consciously prioritized which customers to serve due to limited resources, taking advantage of lights out capabilities is quite appealing.

For example, an aerospace manufacturer had a bottleneck in a critical area of the shop that required high-skilled resources to function which created significant past due and unhappy customers. This client purchased a robot and invested in high-skilled talent to modify the robot to work for their needs and connect it to their systems. They were able to program the robot during the day and run lights out on second and third shift, quickly resurrecting their customer service and supporting future growth.

As companies expand and upgrade the use of ERP and related technologies, they can create unique value for customers and in their supply chain. Taking it a step further, to thrive during these turbulent and inflationary times, it is important to automate, digitize, reduce repetitive labor requirements, increase efficiencies, and standardize so that more can be achieved with fewer resources. The best companies engage their people and connect with customers and suppliers to upgrade the end-to-end customer experience.

Originally published on Smartindustry.com on November 17, 2023.

The post Leveraging ERP and related technologies for a diverse customer experience appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

The Economy: Big Picture

In the last month, we’ve participated in at least six economic forecast presentations or discussions with experts (economic, banking, investment, manufacturing). Although they each had nuances, common themes emerged. Adding our expertise into the mix, we see volatility on the horizon. 

The bottom line is that inflation is likely to continue, interest rates are unlikely to decline near-term without creating additional down-the-line inflation, unemployment will have fits and starts and trend up slightly yet the labor participation rate will remain lower than pre-pandemic. From a jobs standpoint, low skilled jobs are being automated, yet high-skilled jobs are experiencing a severe skills gap. Overall, the economy will be slower than it has been. Last but not least, geopolitical risks are concerning every expert, leaving volatility the name of the game in the foreseeable future.

The Economy & The Data

A summary of findings from recent research on the state of the economy includes the following:

• Stimulus (COVID money flooded the economy): Inflation would need to rise by 30% to absorb the stimulus. So far, inflation has gone up around 20%. Thus, there is around 10% left to absorb to get supply and demand in alignment. If interest rates stay put, the COVID funds will run out in about a year. Otherwise, we will have spurts & starts.
• Government spending: Government spending has continued at historic levels. For example, in 2023, nominal GDP was up $1.5 trillion yet federal debt increased $2.5 trillion, leaving a gap. Debt is increasing at what some see as an alarming rate.
• Inflation rate: It has gone up by 20%, but to absorb the stimulus, there is still 10% to go. It is likely interest rates will remain flat to work through the COVID money. If not, there will be bursts of inflation and recession (volatility). Inflation is likely to stay higher than the goal around 3-3.5%.
• Unemployment rates & labor participation rates: Layoffs surged 136% in January to the second-highest level on record with financial companies, the technology sector, food production companies, and retail with the highest levels (in order of sequence). On the other hand, these findings led the experts to think employers would show the latest hiring at 180,000 workers yet the number came in double that amount (353,000). The unemployment rate stayed about the same at 3.7% with the labor force participation rate at 62.5% (which close to 1% lower than pre-pandemic, 63.4%). There is 1.3 jobs for every person looking for a job. From a client point-of-view, they simply do not have the high-skilled resources required although they are automating low-skilled jobs, and depending on the industry, they have put a pause on hiring.
• Wages: Workers’ wages are improving but they still have not caught up with inflation. In the last three years, real average hourly earnings are still down 2.4%. Thus, people are not feeling better.
• GDP (gross domestic product): Real gross domestic product has largely recovered. It increased 3.3% in the 4th quarter and consumer spending has remained relatively strong. It shifted from goods to services, but has held up overall even with the interest rate hikes thus far.
• Banking: There is concern about the regional banks. They hold most of the commercial real estate loans that will need to be refinanced at higher rates over the next few years. Also, bank’s liquidity requirements are driving concerns with the changing of bonds prices with the quick increase in interest rates.
• Geopolitical risk: Every expert mentioned concern around geopolitical risk. It will lead to inflationary pressures with reshoring, increased prices (for example, the Red Sea rates, diversion costs, and/or expedite costs), impact on energy prices, etc.

The bottom line can be summed up in with the misalignment of demand and supply, the shrinking workforce (with Baby Boomer retirements – by 2030, the youngest of the largest generation in history will be older than 65) combined with the divergent needs for high-skills vs low skills, and the emergence of high geopolitical risk. Thus, volatility and uncertainty will remain.

What Should We Take Away

Smart executives will take bold actions to ensure they can supply their key / ideal customers while pruning low margin/ non-value added customers. They are adding customer/ product profitability, pricing, and costing trends into their SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) processes to evaluate options, set strategy and make decisions.

They will invest in the best high-skilled resources, supplement with additional options (refer to our article, Where the Talent Has Gone, and create a high-performance culture. Strong leaders will be pivotal to ensuring success. People follow leaders; not companies.

Proactive clients are upgrading ERP systems to ensure the basic processes (blocking and tackling) are in place. Additionally, they are rolling out advanced technologies including artificial intelligence (AI) to automate, digitize and thrive. To read more about these strategies, refer to our article, Automate, Digitize and Thrive in Supply Chain. It will be cornerstone to success in the next decade.

Additionally, smart clients are upgrading business processes, cleaning up their data to better utilize their ERP and peripheral systems, and building flexibility and scalability into their future thinking. The core processes include demand planning, production planning, engineering (for engineer-to-order ETO and configure-to-order CTO companies), production and inventory control, and replenishment/ distribution planning processes. From a data perspective, it is important to review bills of materials, routings, work centers, item masters, customer and supplier masters, and MRP parameters. Proactive clients are ensuring the basics are intact and they are focusing on the roadmap to stay at least a few steps ahead of changing conditions.

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
Supply Chain Volatility, Risk & Capacity Remain Critical Priorities

The post The Economy, Outlook & Strategies for Success appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Disruptions have not stopped. China has been flying balloons over Taiwan. North Korea is threatening South Korea. Russia continues its war with Ukraine. Israel is at war with Hamas which has spread throughout the region, diverting container ships from the Suez Canal in addition to causing a bunch of other negative consequences. The Panama Canal is experiencing a drought and has reduced the number of container ships that can pass. It got so bad that tankers are now avoiding it altogether which has improved pricing to jump to the head of the line for container ships.

And this is before we bring up one of the hottest topics for companies – the skills gap. In essence, although the high level numbers have improved a bit, if you talk with executives, they are challenged to find resources with the appropriate skill sets. Only the companies advancing technology will thrive; however, it requires additional resources with technical skills to pursue these avenues. It is a complete jumble. If a client thinks they have the resources, it turns out they don’t know what the executives expect them to know. Or, as conditions change (new ERP system, new company ownership, changing economic conditions), they fall short. To read more about where the talent has gone and strategies for success, read our blog article.

Why The Issues All Fall to Planning

At multiple clients, the issues are stockpiling in Planning. We consider Planning to include the following areas:

• Demand planning
• Production planning & scheduling
• Replenishment planning (transfers, distribution)
• Materials planning
• Logistics planning (warehouse, transportation, international)

Here are the common causes that are flowing into the Planning Teams. Executives are frustrated and often think the people are the issue when it is the process, the system, the way the organization is set up etc.

• Customer Service: If Customer Service doesn’t proactively manage customer requests, push back when appropriate, handle customer concerns proactively, enter sales orders with the appropriate fields filled in correctly, every issue will fall in Planning’s lap. As Planning plans and schedules, these issues will arise, and they will have to reschedule, expedite, etc. Additionally, as customers change their mind or orders are pushed out or in, if Customer Service isn’t on top of these issues and proactively communicating cross-functionally, the issues flow to Planning’s desk.
• Engineering: In CTO (configure-to-order) and ETO (engineer-to-order) companies, the product is not finalized until it goes through Engineering. If delays or mistakes occur during this process, the issues flow into Planning’s lap. Also, typically if customer approvals are required, the follow up falls to Engineering. If the customer is delayed in providing approval, they typically still want it on the original request date, even if the company has a policy against this occurring. It happens anyway and falls to Planning to resolve.
• Transactions: If the warehouse doesn’t ship, receive, and transfer on a timely and accurate basis, if production doesn’t enter production and issue materials on a timely and accurate basis, if whoever is responsible for scrap and usage adjustments don’t handle them on a timely and accurate basis, if the inventory team doesn’t cycle count, research and resolve root causes on a timely and accurate basis, the issues pile up in Planning. To determine what to plan, inventory must be accurate and performed on a timely basis. Another issue that arises related to transactions are design decisions made on the basis of minimizing transactions in one department that pushes the workload to Planning. Unfortunately, the fact that the workload will end up in Planning isn’t typically known, but it is what happens as someone needs to figure out what to do. If you don’t track at a detailed level yet you need to plan at a detailed level, Planning will have to figure it out manually.
• Suppliers: If suppliers struggle or transportation is delayed (such as the Suez and Panama Canal or via strikes), production must be rescheduled. Again, the issues wind up in Planning to resolve before moving on.
• ERP setup and use challenges: There are millions of setups and processes tied to how an ERP system is rolled out or upgraded. Thus, there are many ways the system can drive incorrect actions. For example, if an item is set up to flow through MRP when it should flow through a min-max planning process or vice-versa, the planner will not receive the appropriate signals. If your branches are not set up properly and in conjunction with your sales forecast, you can send the wrong product to the wrong place at the wrong time. If lead times and safety stocks are not monitored, you can run the plant out of materials or create an overage quite easily. If there are ECNs (engineering change notices) but the ERP system cannot handle them, the Planners might be left updating countless work orders to know what to produce and order.

In the last six months, we’ve seen Planning get bombarded with these types of issues across multiple clients in multiple industries and multiple geographies. It is a common situation.

Path Forward: Reactive to Proactive

Unfortunately, there are no easy solutions. In fact, that is how “we” have got into this situation. Someone has to figure out the path forward. If no one else does it and the ERP system hasn’t been designed to handle it yet, Planning will be your last resort. Thus, ensure you have the appropriate skills on your Planning teams. If they are supposed to catch whatever goes wrong throughout the lifecycle of an order, make sure your planners are ready to do that for an interim period of time. Have you provided ongoing training and education? Have you hired consultants to help your team upgrade the process? Have you invested in additional technology to support your team?

Look around you. Have you had several retirements of long-term employees? Are you sure someone has absorbed ALL of the relevant tasks? How sure are you that the tasks will be automated? How sure are you that they are no longer required if you’ve implemented a process change? How sure are you that your new resources understand the big picture? In several situations, smart executives wondered why these tasks couldn’t be automated. Of course, the answer is that they can be automated, but ONLY with a high-skilled resource(s) with practical experience that can ensure items don’t fall through the cracks. Don’t wait for retirements to occur to go backwards and think about the process. Plan ahead, develop career paths, and transition plans.

Have you implemented a new ERP system or new ERP functionality? Most likely, the ERP team said we will start with base information and add your requests to future phases. How sure are you that those requests will be covered in the interim period? Have you planned to bring on board the appropriate resources for the workload in the interim? Do your employees know what should be done? They might just know what doesn’t seem right, but not know what to do to make it better. Are there a few of those items that should be fought for instead of postponing to a future phase? If you don’t want your business waiting on the Planning Team, re-review if you hear any of these watch-outs. Supplement your team, provide support, and tie rewards with the outcomes you want to achieve for not just the ERP team, but also for those required to ensure success.

Pivot from reactive to proactive is the message. Think forward, invest wisely, provide training and education to your people, communicate clearly, hire leaders with the experience to “jump in” and take on tasks to “see” what their team members are experiencing and help their team climb out of holes. We are in a business environment that is not for the faint of heart. Strong leaders that are willing to take on smart risks, work hard, and pivot with changing conditions will deliver strong results.

SIOP: Reactive to Proactive

Smart leaders are rolling out a SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) process to proactively plan demand and supply. SIOP will alert you to bottlenecks, issues, the need to pivot etc. Forward-thinking companies are gaining an advantage as they have planned ahead to be agile, pivot quickly, and most importantly, are ahead of the curve in securing capacity, materials, and key resources.

Think ahead and pay close attention to what’s going on in your Planning Team. If the ball is rolling downhill, put stopgaps in place to catch it while proactively addressing the topic.

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Master Planning & Production Scheduling Case Study: Gaining Visibility for Results

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99% of the companies that bring us on board for consulting projects can accelerate bottom line business results by better utilizing their ERP system. The typical 80/20 equation holds true – at least 80% of companies underutilize their ERP system by a significant amount. Even the 20% that utilize their ERP system to a better degree than most have opportunities.

In almost 20 years of consulting, we have found only 1 client that couldn’t utilize their ERP system to a greater degree as their manual work around processes would fall apart. They required an ERP upgrade before they could utilize their system to a greater degree. Every other client could make progress (improve customer service levels such as OTIF on-time-in-full, reduce lead times, increase efficiencies, reduce waste, automate manual functions, reduce inventory, etc.) by better utilizing their ERP system. It didn’t matter if they had a tier 1 ERP system such as SAP or Oracle, or a tier 2 or 3 system such as Epicor, SAP Business One, Microsoft Business Central, Sage 100 etc. It didn’t matter the industry – aerospace, building products, life sciences/ healthcare products, or food and beverage. These statistics apply across the board. To learn more about how to better utilize ERP, read our article, The MacGyver Approach: Leveraging Your Underutilized Asset.

Building Products Manufacturer Case Study

A building products manufacturer struggled to get the “right” inventory to the “right” distribution center at the “right” time to service customers successfully. There were four production facilities supplying around 12 distribution centers across North America. Each production facility also functioned as a distribution center for their region. This consulting client used SAP, and although they were on an older version of the software, the system could support a complex distribution network. However, they were underutilizing the ERP system.

There were various levels of expertise at the production facilities, different processes at different facilities, and different use of the ERP system and different data integrity at different sites. This is not uncommon. In 80% of clients, the employees using the ERP system are NOT resistant to change once they understand how it works, how it will help, and how what they do fits into the big picture. Until they understand how to perform their daily tasks to successfully serve customers and accomplish their goals, they will do whatever it takes to do what’s needed including developing manual processes, updating spreadsheets, etc. That is exactly the situation as we entered this client.

We started by understanding the current business processes and use of the ERP system. By documenting the high-level processes, we could identify gaps and opportunities. We quickly addressed quick wins. There are typically a few quick wins at every client; however, to make sustainable progress, the key is to review how the business processes connect with and interface with each other. Once a full view of the business processes and interfaces emerges, the current use of ERP will also become apparent. Finally, the use of data, integrity of the data, and reliability of the data for decision-making will also emerge during the process review.

In this client situation, we started by sharing best practices among production facilities. One production site had a more advanced use of planning functionality, and so we worked with the second priority site to set up the appropriate system settings, update data, and roll out upgraded planning processes. This use of SAP in conjunction with upgraded planning processes and coordination with Sales and Operations propelled service levels to jump from low 60%’s into the 80%’s within a few months. Next, there was additional SAP functionality that could upgrade the planning process across both sites, and so we worked with SAP experts to test and roll out additional SAP functionality to further automate what made sense. This resulted in a solid production plan.

From a replenishment standpoint, it started with a solid production plan. Beyond a solid production plan, the replenishment process to supply the distribution centers with the appropriate product to satisfy customers required a directionally correct forecast. The forecast was the trigger to supply the distribution centers. Thus, we worked to better utilize the advanced planning module of SAP to whatever degree feasible on an accelerated timeline in addition to upgrading the business process for reviewing the demand plan with the Sales Team. This step was incorporated into the monthly SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) process to gain executive alignment and to ensure the forecasts passed the smell test.

In addition, we reviewed the current replenishment process including the MRP and replenishment or transfer order settings. We performed inventory analysis to determine optimal settings for safety stock, minimum orders, etc., and rolled out process improvements in conjunction with SAP functionality. These process and ERP utilization improvements allowed us to improve our service levels greatly and rectify relationships with customers. As the process smoothed out, we started to look at ways to optimize inventory levels while maintaining higher levels of service.

Results with Better Utilization of ERP

Results followed the rollout of improved utilization of SAP in combination with process upgrades and associated education. Most importantly, service levels improved from around 40% to the 90%’s. Lead times were also shortened in a critical site that produced a core product line. This made a dramatic impact on customers’ perception and and turned unhappy customers into customers looking for opportunities to expand business with our client.

In addition, the critical site increased output and capacity as manufacturing got in front of what was needed to support customer requirements. Manufacturing efficiencies improved as the production schedule transitioned from reactive to proactive.

From a replenishment standpoint, as upgraded replenishment planning was rolled out, service levels improved. And, as MRP settings were updated with optimized variables, inventory levels were reduced without impacting service levels negatively.

Finally, as the process and system upgrades were rolled out, the team was educated and gained confidence with their core tasks. Additionally, as processes were automated, the team could spend more time on exceptions and less time performing mundane tasks. This freed up time for additional improvements to grow revenue and profitability.

The Bottom Line

Pay attention to your business processes in conjunction with your use of ERP. The better you utilize ERP in a smart way to accomplish your goals, the more focus will go to exceptions, bottlenecks, and additional process and technological upgrades. If you are interested in talking about how to better utilize your ERP system to drive superior customer service, customer growth, profitability and cash flow, contact us.

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Better Utilize Your ERP System

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Although production and materials planning can be overlooked in its importance in most companies if going smoothly, it is cornerstone to success. Unfortunately, when not going smoothly, it can bring a company to its knees. For example, production might not know what to run, changeovers can be out of control, customers become unhappy, materials shortages persist, resources are scrambling to catch up with changing conditions, and chaos ensues. Read more about this topic in our article, The Million Dollar Planner.

An Industrial Equipment Manufacturer Case Study

An industrial equipment manufacturer struggled to keep up with month end sales goals when receiving last minute notice from Engineering of final design of the engineer-to-order item (bills of materials) before the item was scheduled to ship to meet customer requested dates. There were multiple stages to the manufacturing process (fabrication, weld, paint, final assembly), and parts had to be shipped offsite for process steps and married up along the way at the “right” time to make the orders come together.

The bottleneck and pacing item was the machine shop, yet visibility was limited to seeing which parts had to complete production at the same time, and the production schedule was completely manual based upon paperwork on hand since there was a lack of visibility in the system. The production supervisor would go through the work order packets, pick out manufacturing differentiators (size, material type, etc.) and group the packets in piles by the optimal run sequencing. For example, you run different sizes on different machines, and you would sequence by material type to be most efficient with changeovers.

Although the machine shop pulled out the stops on a regular basis to meet sales goals, it required constant expediting and coordination of process steps, was sub-optimal based upon the work order packets available at the time, and the process was completely dependent on a person (who also turned into a single point-of-failure). Since there was a lack of visibility, sales order availability frequently moved from month-to-month, creating concerns with predictability. And the machine shop ran less efficiently than it would have if there was visibility to the full scope of work order packets.

As we provided consulting support to this client, we learned about the optimal sequencing triggers (size, material type, etc.) and looked for ways to identify these triggers sooner in the process. Of course, it is never as easy as it appears. Thus, we had to work upfront in the sales quoting process to get a better picture of the demand plan by adding configuration strings (high-level identification of the item) into the process and system early in the process. By adding this information into sales orders, the team had better visibility to what was coming down the pike prior to Engineering’s final design so that we could gain visibility to plan capacity and materials (master scheduling) instead of reacting to sales orders late in their life cycle. We integrated this visibility into a SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) process to build a monthly cadence and review of critical sales and operational forecasts.

To address the machine shop scheduling, additional triggers had to be identified and incorporated into the data. Sales order statuses were also key to the process as sales orders went through engineering, production engineering, customer approval, material availability, and work order creation before the items were available to be scheduled. We built these statuses into a planning report along with key triggers and dates (incorporated from a production status review process). Once this report was built, a dashboard was developed for improved visibility and ease of use. This powered the production scheduling process and replaced the packets process so that the system automated the 80/20 and focused attention on what was meaningful to optimize the production schedule and ensure the parts married up at the right time.

Master Scheduling & Production Planning Results

As the client gained visibility to required capacity and materials, they were able to start making directionally correct decisions early in the process with the master scheduling process. As capacity bottlenecks arose, they were able to address proactively before “running into a wall”. For example, we gained visibility that paint was a future bottleneck, and so the head of Operations was able to put together the appropriate capital requests, gain approval, and order an additional paint system to support sales growth goals. Additionally, offload capacity was needed to supplement the weld area, and so leadership was able to pursue additional options prior to negatively impacting customers.

From a materials standpoint, Purchasing was able to look into the future and secure materials ordered from the Russia-Ukraine region while they were still available. While every client struggled to maintain service levels during COVID, our client was able to keep one step ahead and sustain higher levels of service for customers.

As the production scheduling process was upgraded, our client gained visibility to the machine shop and could optimize efficiencies and gain capacity. The head of Operations said he was able to double capacity to support sales growth. The production schedule was no longer dependent on a person; it became part of a process. Thus, this key resource could focus attention on further optimizing machine shop performance.

The Bottom Line

Pay attention to your planning processes as they will drive bottom line business results. Changing from reactive to proactive sounds far easier than it is when you get down to the details, but rolling out the appropriate process, data, and ERP system upgrades will propel progress. If you are interested in talking about implementing a master planning and production scheduling process upgrade to improve visibility and results, contact us.

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Production Planning Best Practices to Recover Capacity

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Clients are struggling to keep up with customer’s changing requests. Order backlogs remain relatively high (depending on the industry), but customers are pushing orders out at the last minute, pulling orders in without notice, adding future potential orders, and changing requirements on the fly. Production is scrambling to keep up.

80%+ of manufacturers simply do not have enough skilled production and support resources to keep up with the volumes, let alone with the volatility of the order backlog and changing forecasts. Not surprisingly, executives do not want to hire more resources than absolutely necessary as they are concerned about rising input costs and the uncertainty of their order backlog. To add fuel to the fire, the supply chain has been volatile as well with global unrest, strikes, and other disruptions as well as supply chains on the move. Read our recent article on how supply chains are changing. The production resources cannot keep up with changing conditions, and triage must occur.

Our best consulting clients are engaging in proactive business processes to get ahead of changing customer conditions and sales forecasts and the impact on capacity, production and replenishment plans as well as the reallocation of critical resources. SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) is a key process and toolset for successfully navigating this volatility while maximizing output and production capacity to support revenue growth.

An Industrial Manufacturer Case Study

An industrial manufacturer struggled to meet customer requirements. Order deliveries were lagging, capacity wasn’t allocated evenly across its ten production facilities and production at a critical site had almost 1000 hours of change overs per month for nine months in a row to try to keep up with urgent customer requirements. Several large customer jobs pushed out and others pulled in, keeping Operations scrambling.

We rolled out a SIOP process, starting by getting a handle on the sales orders and potential sales orders. A weekly meeting with Sales and Project Management helped to solidify the priorities of the demand plan (sales forecast). Although customers continued to request push outs and pull-in’s, when the requests were proactively worked with the team and the ERP system was maintained, better clarity emerged.

The demand was run through a capacity model, showing available capacity vs. operational requirements by production facility. The operational requirements were bucketed in categories of firmed sales orders, sales orders waiting on Engineering release, sales quotes that were better defined, and sales quotes. By evaluating near-term capacity, priorities could be established with Engineering, short-term capacity actions could be taken (overtime, supplementing production at additional sites, etc.), and proactive customer communications could take place.

More importantly, by evaluating medium and long-term capacity, the appropriate strategic decisions came to light. For example, the critical site showed as overloaded months in advance so that Operations could reallocate customer orders among production facilities within the same region to mitigate impacts on freight cost. The model could be evaluated with multiple what if scenarios so that Sales and Operations could address the bottlenecks proactively. Guidelines were set to reprioritize and set pricing for key customers, capacity could be reallocated, additional capacity could be planned, and capacity offload options explored.

The key is the connection between Sales, Project Management, and Operations and Engineering. As customer requirements change, capacity scenarios need to be reevaluated and impacts reviewed. Proactive communication and collaboration is a critical piece of SIOP to keep demand and supply aligned and optimized.

SIOP Maximized Production Output & Capacity

By seeing the demand and capacity picture in advance with SIOP, the executive team could maximize production output and capacity. They could do this by proactively addressing bottlenecks to level load the plants so that the scheduling teams could optimize the production schedules to increase efficiencies and reduce waste. By running like items, sizes, and material types together, changeovers are minimized. And by seeing the final assembly schedule requirements, labor and resource plans could be optimized.

Also by reviewing the full capacity requirements across all North America sites, capacity could be reallocated to maximize output, thereby minimizing the need for offload capacity. Each plant’s strength could be maximized and planned in advance while minimizing transfers between plants, freight to customers, and material price differences.

By addressing these supply plans proactively, materials contracts could be addressed in advance ensuring material availability which positively impacts manufacturing planning and output. It also typically provides opportunities for more favorable contracts and pricing. In addition to maximizing production and capacity output, SIOP improved the customer delivery performance, resulting in happier customers and additional revenue possibilities.

SIOP: A Look Forward

In our book, “SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning): Creating Predictable Revenue and EBITDA Growth“, we discuss how SIOP can support these types of improved results. As companies navigate the exaggerated volatility of the global environment and try to keep up with changing customer needs, SIOP becomes an essential tool in the toolkit to survive, let alone thrive. Our best clients are utilizing SIOP as a way to take control of their future and manage their options instead of letting their situation manage them. In fact, they are taking SIOP to the next level with advanced technologies and by connecting SIOP to their customers and suppliers to gain an end-to-end supply chain view.

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Optimizing Business Decision Tradeoffs with SIOP

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