The Minimum Wage Hike

California’s minimum wage went up to $20/hr. for fast food restaurants with at least 60 locations nationwide that do not make bread. This law is causing widespread unintended consequences. For example, Fosters Freeze in Lemoore closed suddenly after the wage hike. Mod 5 Pizza is closing five locations. There are widespread price increases including at In n Out, Burger King and more. Significant layoffs are also occurring at restaurants like Pizza Hut, Round Table Pizza, and Auntie Anne’s as companies determine how to deal with the wage hikes while maintaining profit levels. Some franchise owners are “on the move” to states with less regulation such as Nevada. It will also negatively impact manufacturing and supply chain as companies compete for resources and increase prices. The Skills Gap and misalignment of high-skilled and low-skilled jobs will worsen.

More Shortages & Sky High Prices…..NOT Chocolate!

The price of cocoa has doubled in the last year. After three years of poor cocoa harvests with a weak outlook, the supply of cocoa has been slashed. Thus, prices are escalating and shortages are becoming widespread. Processing plants are saying they cannot afford to purchase the beans. For example, 60% of the world’s coca is produced in Africa’s the Ivory Coast and Ghana, and these plants have stopped or cut processing. Unfortunately, there is a massive misalignment of demand and supply which is creating supply chain shortages and causing inflationary pressures. In addition, substitutes are starting to occur. To read more about persistent shortages, see our article, “Supply Chain Shortages Remain a Concern“.

Egg Inflation

The largest producer of fresh eggs, Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. temporarily shut down one of its facilities due to the bird flu. It also resulted in the depopulation of 1.6 million hens. These issues are bound to lead to further price increases. Egg prices increased over 8% in the last month, have more than doubled since before the pandemic, and are bound to go even higher as potential shortages loom. What is the bottom line? Supply and demand misalignment is creating havoc throughout the supply chain.

It Isn’t All About Food

Oil and gas prices are increasing again, which will have an impact on countless products from medical devices to electronics and industrial machinery. Since the supply chain has been thrust into chaos throughout the world (listen to our recent Supply Chain Chats on what’s going on in the global supply chain), container shipping rates are increasing. And after the recent bridge collapse in Baltimore, the automobile supply chains have been disrupted, and it is likely to lead to inflationary pressures. No matter the product, supply chain risks have been heightened.

How to Navigate

Unfortunately, there is no easy answer and magic wand to resolve the shortages and realign demand with supply. On the other hand, the focus of SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) is to align demand with supply and provide the visibility and insights to proactively navigate these rough waters. For example, clients are reallocating capacity among production facilities, making make vs buy decisions, offloading to supplement short-term spikes in demand, and maximizing customer and product profitability with a SIOP process. To learn more about these strategies, download our complimentary book, SIOP: Creating Predictable Revenue and EBITDA Growth.

In addition, there is no doubt the proactive clients are finding ways to leverage ERP systems and advanced technologies to automate, digitize and better navigate these trying circumstances. For example, a healthcare products manufacturer is using artificial intelligence and robotics to produce standard product with minimal resources so that they can dedicate their high-skilled talent to their complex product lines supporting aerospace and defense. Another client is pursuing additive manufacturing/ 3D printing to get a leg up on the competition and bring down lead times to support growth plans. There is plenty of opportunities if you look for them!

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
How Do You Rate in Your Supply Chain?

The post The Minimum Wage Hike, Cocoa Shortages, Egg Inflation & Impacts appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

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Originally published on Patrick Daly Interlinks Podcast on 3/12/2024

The post Building Agility and Resilience for Business in 2024 appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

According to a study by Deloitte and The Manufacturing Institute, 2 million jobs could go unfilled in the sector by 2030. The cost in 2030 alone could potentially total $1 Trillion. Worse yet, the manufacturers surveyed said it is 36% harder to find the right talent than it was in 2018, and 77% of manufacturers expect to have ongoing difficulties attracting and retaining manufacturing employees.

As technology, automation, and artificial intelligence (AI) continues to gain steam, lower skilled jobs are automated, but higher-skilled jobs become critical. The gap is significant. Additionally, as reshoring gains momentum and manufacturing expansion becomes a priority with the rise of geopolitical risk and the rollout of government funded programs such as the CHIPS act, manufacturing will increase, and the skills gap will widen. Finally, by 2030, the youngest of the largest generation in history will be older than 65, further decreasing the workforce.   

Simply hiring a recruiting firm will no longer be sufficient. There simply are not enough manufacturing resources to fulfill the needs. Proactive executives will put an increased emphasis on training and development. For example, an aerospace manufacturer needed far more machine operators than they could find, and so the company set up a training facility and hired trainers to put new hires through a comprehensive training and development program. They went from constantly struggling to creating a pipeline of qualified candidates. Another client sent employees to a technical training center in the region to gain manufacturing skills.

Relying on your planners, buyers, and analysts’ college education and prior work history is no longer sufficient. At least 80% of clients are struggling to hire resources with the appropriate education and training. For example, two power systems and electrical equipment manufacturers serving different industries went live with an upgraded ERP system. Although they brought on significant support, both struggled due to lack of production planning and inventory concept education and training for their resources. Proactive clients are arranging ERP and MRP (material requirements planning) education for their employees. For example, a significant beverage manufacturer has been coordinating with a local supply chain education partner to provide practical education.

Turn traditional thinking on its head. Supplement your employees with consultants to upgrade processes and improve efficiencies (refer to our guide for hiring consultants), hire temporary employees to fill gaps, and partner with specialist resources such as engineering firms to make quicker progress. Appreciate different pools of talent such as veterans and retired workers and reexamine your qualifications. For example, a building products manufacturer eliminated its requirement for a college degree and replaced it with practical experience and/or approved skills training. Not only did they find additional candidates, but the candidates were a better fit for the role.

Leadership and culture will be vital to closing the skills gap. People do not follow companies; people follow leaders. The best employees expect leaders to have high expectations, to address poor performers, to face reality with tough topics, and to appreciate and recognize progress. For example, an industrial equipment manufacturer was able to find and retain employees in a small town with limited resources and a key competitor because employees knew that the leader would expect high levels of performance, push for excellence, and cared.

Attracting and retaining talent will be key to success in the manufacturing industry in the next decade (refer to our article for strategies). Proactive executives are developing creative alternatives to traditional hiring, retention, training, and development strategies. The best remain committed to leadership and culture to retain top talent and attract scarce talent.  

Originally published in Brushware, March – April 2024

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
Where the Talent Has Gone & Strategies for Success

The post Skills Gap Challenge for Manufacturing Success appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Status of the Medical / Healthcare Supply Chain

The supply chain has calmed down since the height of the pandemic; however, smart manufacturers are thinking ahead to changing conditions. Geopolitical risks are at an all-time high. The Russia-Ukraine war rages on and Israel and Hamas are at war which has spilled over to the Iran-backed Houthis rebels attacking container ships in the Suez Canal, disrupting a major shipping lane.

Additionally, China continues to threaten Taiwan which produces 90% of the advanced computer chips for the world and an important component in medical devices. China is also being very aggressive in the region which could impact shipping lanes through the South China Seas, manufacturing in China and manufacturing in countries in the region. Since China dominates the medical device supply chain, this is concerning. Thus, proactive manufacturers are moving towards regional manufacturing. This trend started following the pandemic (refer to our quote in a MPO Medical Products Outsourcing article) and has been picking up steam.

Reshoring & Expanding Manufacturing Capabilities

According to Xometry’s Medical Industry Survey, medical device manufacturers are rapidly reshoring operations to strengthen their domestic supply chains. In fact, 67% of medical device manufacturers are in the process of reshoring operations within the next 12 months. There is a focused effort in rethinking supply chain strategies.

Although many companies are reshoring, executives remain concerned about the cost impact of expanding production in the USA. The good news is that labor costs have decreased as a percentage of total cost dramatically since the offshoring craze while other costs have increased, making reshoring more attractive. For example, transportation costs were heightened during the pandemic and have been impacted by the Panama Canal drought, the diversions of the Suez Canal, and other supply chain disruptions. The cost of capital has increased significantly with the increase in interest rates which has made the cost of carrying inventory much higher. And there are many other costs to consider in the total cost to produce. In fact, the total cost of product can be equivalent or even less in the USA in some non-commodity situations.

Many advancements have been made in manufacturing and technology. Companies are automating and digitizing their manufacturing and supply chain. For example, they are using 3D printing/ additive manufacturing, robotics, artificial intelligence with IoT, and other advanced technologies to improve efficiencies and enhance visibility. As manufacturers expand their manufacturing footprint, source new regional suppliers and reshore production, these advanced technologies maximize operational performance and minimize cost while maintaining and improving customer service levels with lower inventory levels. Thus, margin concerns are mitigated depending on the upgrades and improvements to the manufacturing process.

In the medical device industry, companies are starting to expand regional manufacturing in the USA. For example, Ascential Medical & Life Sciences is reshoring to Minnesota. Their new state-of-the-art facility has highly innovative automation solutions, making reshoring financially viable. Certainly, they are not alone. Companies are expanding operations in the USA.

Manufacturers are also nearshoring to the region. Mexico has expertise in medical devices and the ability to scale. Since customer requirements are significant in North America, the ability to scale in the US and Mexico is a relevant factor. The availability of advanced manufacturing and technical skills is also an important factor. Medical grade material supply can be sourced nearby, and the USA is ramping up computer chip manufacturing capabilities. For high labor component products, Mexico provides an excellent option because their labor rates are lower than China, and they benefit from the USMCA agreement between the two countries.

Although the USA and Mexico are great options with scale, there are additional medical device manufacturing hubs in other nearby countries. For example, Costa Rica has advanced skills, computer chip manufacturing, and therefore a thriving medical device manufacturing concentration. The Dominican Republic has medical device manufacturing, and Puerto Rico is known for pharmaceutical manufacturing.

Manufacturing Resurgence

There is no doubt that the successful companies will mitigate risk and manufacture regionally. Thus, the USA, Mexico and business friendly countries will experience a resurgence in manufacturing in the next decade. It will require investments in manufacturing, tooling, and other resources although there are opportunities to keep costs intact or even reduce total product cost.

The most successful companies will upgrade their processes, ERP systems, utilize advanced technologies, maximize customer and product profitability and proactively manage these opportunities with a SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) process. Assess your supply chain to learn how you stack up. Take our complimentary supply chain assessment. Upgrade, innovative, get ahead of the competition, and thrive.

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
Why Manufacturing Matters and Will Thrive in the Next Decade

The post Regional Manufacturing in the Medical Supply Chain appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Manufacturing Matters – Safety & Security

Manufacturing promotes safety and security and mitigates risk. Controlling your supply chain and mitigating geopolitical risk can become paramount overnight as geopolitical events occur, natural disasters emerge, and supply chain challenges arise (strikes, disruptions, shortages). These types of issues have been increasingly concerning with recent events.

For example, the war in the Middle East has caused disruptions in the Suez Canal. Container ships are being diverted and traveling around the southern tip of Africa, adding 10,000 miles and 7-10 days. This situation delays critical supplies and causes further inflation with increased costs. Additionally, the reason China has been threatening Taiwan is partially to gain control over 90% of the world’s advanced computer chips that go into everything from medical devices to critical infrastructure.

During the pandemic, the U.S. discovered it was dependent on China for critical supplies and everyday necessities. Not only can a worldwide pandemic cause disruptions of these supplies, but country specific policies can dictate whether your supply will be cut off. For example, China rolled out zero COVID policies, directly impacting production and shipping to the U.S. China could prioritize who received limited supplies.

China also wants to control the Red Sea and could decide to cut off supplies produced in other Asian countries in the region. Clearly China thinks manufacturing is essential to national security. For example, their shipbuilding capabilities are over 200 times greater than the U.S. According to the Maritime Executive, China produces more than half of all new tonnage in the world. These types of statistics are gravely concerning and the proactive will build capabilities.

Manufacturing Will Thrive in the Next Decade

As companies realize they must gain control over their supply chain to better support customers, reshoring and regional expansion of manufacturing capabilities will soar. Additionally, the cost has come into alignment for non-commodity products if you evaluate the total cost to produce, ship, store, protect, etc., China won’t have the advantage. Piles of inventory tying up cash unnecessarily are no longer acceptable, especially as customer needs change rapidly, increasing the risk of obsolescence. As interest rates soar, this situation is untenable.

Customers are not willing to accept prolonged periods of delays and stock outs. Thus, they are taking control of their supply chain and focusing on manufacturing capabilities. In addition, companies must prioritize customers and address proactively with strategic pricing and capacity decisions. Thus, smart companies are utilizing a SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) process to proactively navigate these changing circumstances to maintain high levels of customer service, profitability, and working capital results. SIOP will bring visibility to customer and product profitability, sourcing decisions, make vs buy alternatives, capacity bottlenecks and more.

The proactive will thrive and have more opportunities than ever expected. In fact, they will be in the catbird seat. The rest will continually struggle and weaken. With the significant skills gap (refer to our recent article on where the talent has gone), the proactive executives are hoarding the “best of the best” (employees, trusted advisors, suppliers, etc.). Are you prepared to thrive?

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
SIOP/ S&OP: Proactive Approach to Maximizing Production Output and Capacity

The post Why Manufacturing Matters & Will Thrive in the Next Decade appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Clients typically set goals; however, goals without an understanding of where you stand is non-value added. Although it is common to set goals and expect employees to achieve them, it is far less common for clients to understand how they will get from the current state to the desired future state. You must start by understanding where you stand in your supply chain. Unfortunately, although this sounds obvious (and Executives would agree), in reality, it is uncommon common sense!

How comfortable are you that you understand where you stand when it comes to your supply chain? We thought it would be of value to create a quick (2 minute) supply chain assessment quiz so that you can self-assess your supply chain. Learn more about the quiz here.

Client Example: Supply Chain Assessment for Service Turnaround

Our first step of any project is to perform a rapid supply chain assessment. For LMA to help a client, we must know the current situation. We do a review of people, processes, systems (ERP and peripheral systems such as CRM, CPQ, etc.), data, alignment with strategy, etc. Since we are focused on bottom line results, we must determine how to get from “here” to “there” on the quickest and smartest path while ensuring quick wins and value along the way.

For example, an aerospace manufacturer wanted to improve delivery performance to support key customer programs (Boeing, Gulfstream, etc.). In essence, they wanted to dramatically increase OTIF (on-time-in-full) from the mid 60%’s rapidly and reduce lead times to a more acceptable and attractive level for customers while maintaining or improving costs and working capital levels. The executives brought us in as supply chain consultants to upgrade their systems, processes, and talent to achieve these goals.

Our first priority was to perform a supply chain assessment. We reviewed their end-to-end order flow process, use of ERP, data, and skills/ talent. This provided us with a good understanding of their strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and risks of execution so that we could put together a roadmap for success.

We stuck around and partnered with our client to roll out demand planning, master scheduling, capacity planning, and SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning), also known as S&OP programs. Based on the assessment, we knew we could better utilize their ERP system and upgrade processes by entering forecasts, analyzing capacity plans and establishing supplier contracts with attractive pricing and stability. Additionally, we identified training and education opportunities and risks of execution so that we could mitigate potential bottlenecks. We brought service levels into the 90%’s, gained key customer confidence with improved scorecard performance, and improved margins by several points by rolling out materials forecasts, supplier contracts, and by gaining long-term visibility into operational capacity to minimize costs.

Client Example: Supply Chain Assessment to Turnaround an ERP Debacle

In an electrical equipment manufacturer, customers were upset due to lagging service levels and key employees were overwhelmed with an insurmountable workload following the launch of a new ERP system. After jumping into the details to work with their North American planners to unbury the schedule and to develop directional capacity information, we performed a supply chain assessment with an eye to use of ERP. There was no way to find a grain of sand in the ocean of details without assessing their supply chain and use of ERP.

Although we have a combined 99+ years of experience, 112+ successful client engagements with bottom line business results, 42+ ERP projects, and specialized manufacturing experience, jumping into the process and working with the key resources to turn around the execution didn’t provide enough information to put together a long-term path forward that would achieve the radical improvement required with the ERP system. Thus, an assessment was required with the full scope of ERP as it relates to supply chain and order creation and fulfillment.

We spent five weeks in an around-the-clock focused effort as the situation was urgent to gain a thorough perspective of the business processes, use of ERP and associated skills. After all, our team had to absorb what the ERP implementation team took a year to develop and roll out while understanding the impacts on the supply chain teams (demand planning, production planning, materials planning, capacity planning, etc.) and the correlation to the business bottlenecks. We reviewed business requirements, ERP functionality, offline spreadsheet processes, the status of data integrity, data availability, the status of training and development, availability of key resources, etc. Although it was a hair-raising process, we were successful in putting together an assessment, resource recommendations, quick wins and long-term solution to rectify the use of the ERP system to drive the business results.

The Bottom Line

Take a step back and assess what is needed to achieve your objectives. Don’t “stay in your lane” if you require a broader scope to ensure results even if you must have uncomfortable conversations and take risks in pushing back on standard assumptions. On the other hand, don’t fall into analysis paralysis. When you have a directional view that is assured to get you moving in the “right” direction (even if not 100% optimal), start moving. Avoid circular discussions and pivot back to the key points.

Also consider the people, the process, the system, the data, metrics and strategy in conjunction with each other. Focusing on technical without the process and people will not work, but focusing on the people without a good understanding of the technical and process aspects will not work either. In fact, you will come to inaccurate conclusions in your assessment that will make the situation worse, not better. Instead, use uncommon common sense, and you success rate will skyrocket.

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
Why Planning is Impacted as Disruptions Abound

The post How Do You Rate in Supply Chain? appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Enterprise resource planning systems, CRMs and other tech such as RFID, barcoding, customer and supplier portals, blockchain, IoT, and GPS tracking all support this goal.

Modern ERP systems are no longer just about transactional processes and standard business processes. They are now pivotal in meeting customer requirements, supporting automation, and integrating other essential technologies like AI, IoT, CRM and e-commerce.

Companies must stand out from the crowd with a superior customer experience to sustain profitable growth during these turbulent times; however, service alone will no longer suffice. Companies must contain cost and mitigate risk. ERP and related technologies are key to achieving these objectives.

During these turbulent times of supply chain disruptions, geopolitical risk, and stubborn inflation, companies must take bold action to mitigate risk, stabilize the supply chain, provide a customer service edge, and contain costs. As wars rage across the world, geopolitical risk has skyrocketed. If there is a disruption at one node in the end-to-end supply chain, the disruption can ripple throughout the entire chain. Executives realize that the risk is simply too high to count on the supply chain remaining stable without securing and gaining visibility to their full supply chain.

Similarly, as the world struggles with limited resources, high inflation and interest rates, there is an intense focus on cash flow and cost containment. Only those companies that automate, digitize, and utilize advanced technologies across their supply chains will be able to support customer requirements while maintaining and increasing profitability, productivity, and working capital. This will become even more critical as those companies that do not invest in their future will not be able to meet customers’ needs, leaving a vast opportunity for those ready to scale and meet customer requests.

Not enough to use your old ERP in new ways

Better utilizing an old ERP system will no longer suffice. To stand out from the crowd, you must go beyond these fundamentals and offer a differentiated or personalized customer experience.

For example, your ERP system must allow for progressive e-commerce capabilities that support not only B2C consumer expectations but also provides advantages for B2B customer ordering and status visibility with ease and effectiveness. Your ERP system should support customer personalization as well as product and service customization.

Similarly, a customer relationship management (CRM) system should be robust in tracking your pipeline, building relationships, and providing relevant insights and statistics of where to focus. Our most successful clients focus on analyzing CRM data, forecasting future customer needs, and utilizing these insights to build customer relationships.

The best clients combine CRM with a powerful business intelligence system to create predictive analytics and assess what if scenarios. The best companies connect directly with their customers’ data and provide proactive insights and differentiated value to their customers.

In addition to gaining sales, companies should utilize ERPs to take customer service to the next level with collaborative customer ordering programs and vendor managed inventory programs. By utilizing demand planning and sales forecasting including the use of AI and predictive analytics as well as replenishment planning and advanced planning functionality, clients can solidify their preferred partner status.

For example, a health care products manufacturer grew the business by outperforming their key customer’s resources in determining what to stock where. Not only did they increase their customer’s fill rate and shorten lead times, but they also reduced their customer’s inventory levels. The customer responded by expanding business and suggesting additional opportunities. In addition, the manufacturer reduced inventory levels and improved their production, warehousing, and transportation efficiencies. Profitability and cash flow increased.

Manufacturer technology that supports supply chain visibility

End-to-end supply chain visibility is essential to responding quickly to changing conditions and in providing Amazon-like status updates to your customers. Several technologies support this type of visibility, including RFID, barcoding, customer and supplier portals, blockchain, IoT, GPS tracking, and more. Smart companies are collaborating with supply chain partners to gain access to status information and to connect, plan, and optimize efficiencies across their supply chain.

For example, if you know the status of key materials, you can better plan production to minimize costs while meeting customer expectations. If you know the status of incoming goods, you can optimize truckloads and modes of transportation to mitigate costs while improving delivery performance.

The metaverse can bring together what customers ask for with what customers need. In essence it can accelerate your SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) process. In a metaverse collaborative room, any set of customers, consumers, and suppliers can meet virtually to review sales forecasts, projected production plans, and possible supplier/capacity limitations that could affect manufacturing volume. They also can visualize an immersive supply chain network map, see where inventory is, identify issues, and model possible solutions. These types of proactive solutions will upgrade your ability to secure your supply chain, enhance margins, and provide end-to-end visibility.

The ever-increasing importance of automation

In addition to automating repetitive tasks, ERP systems and related technologies can keep facilities running at night without people. Since most clients have consciously prioritized which customers to serve due to limited resources, taking advantage of lights out capabilities is quite appealing.

For example, an aerospace manufacturer had a bottleneck in a critical area of the shop that required high-skilled resources to function which created significant past due and unhappy customers. This client purchased a robot and invested in high-skilled talent to modify the robot to work for their needs and connect it to their systems. They were able to program the robot during the day and run lights out on second and third shift, quickly resurrecting their customer service and supporting future growth.

As companies expand and upgrade the use of ERP and related technologies, they can create unique value for customers and in their supply chain. Taking it a step further, to thrive during these turbulent and inflationary times, it is important to automate, digitize, reduce repetitive labor requirements, increase efficiencies, and standardize so that more can be achieved with fewer resources. The best companies engage their people and connect with customers and suppliers to upgrade the end-to-end customer experience.

Originally published on Smartindustry.com on November 17, 2023.

The post Leveraging ERP and related technologies for a diverse customer experience appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

The Economy: Big Picture

In the last month, we’ve participated in at least six economic forecast presentations or discussions with experts (economic, banking, investment, manufacturing). Although they each had nuances, common themes emerged. Adding our expertise into the mix, we see volatility on the horizon. 

The bottom line is that inflation is likely to continue, interest rates are unlikely to decline near-term without creating additional down-the-line inflation, unemployment will have fits and starts and trend up slightly yet the labor participation rate will remain lower than pre-pandemic. From a jobs standpoint, low skilled jobs are being automated, yet high-skilled jobs are experiencing a severe skills gap. Overall, the economy will be slower than it has been. Last but not least, geopolitical risks are concerning every expert, leaving volatility the name of the game in the foreseeable future.

The Economy & The Data

A summary of findings from recent research on the state of the economy includes the following:

• Stimulus (COVID money flooded the economy): Inflation would need to rise by 30% to absorb the stimulus. So far, inflation has gone up around 20%. Thus, there is around 10% left to absorb to get supply and demand in alignment. If interest rates stay put, the COVID funds will run out in about a year. Otherwise, we will have spurts & starts.
• Government spending: Government spending has continued at historic levels. For example, in 2023, nominal GDP was up $1.5 trillion yet federal debt increased $2.5 trillion, leaving a gap. Debt is increasing at what some see as an alarming rate.
• Inflation rate: It has gone up by 20%, but to absorb the stimulus, there is still 10% to go. It is likely interest rates will remain flat to work through the COVID money. If not, there will be bursts of inflation and recession (volatility). Inflation is likely to stay higher than the goal around 3-3.5%.
• Unemployment rates & labor participation rates: Layoffs surged 136% in January to the second-highest level on record with financial companies, the technology sector, food production companies, and retail with the highest levels (in order of sequence). On the other hand, these findings led the experts to think employers would show the latest hiring at 180,000 workers yet the number came in double that amount (353,000). The unemployment rate stayed about the same at 3.7% with the labor force participation rate at 62.5% (which close to 1% lower than pre-pandemic, 63.4%). There is 1.3 jobs for every person looking for a job. From a client point-of-view, they simply do not have the high-skilled resources required although they are automating low-skilled jobs, and depending on the industry, they have put a pause on hiring.
• Wages: Workers’ wages are improving but they still have not caught up with inflation. In the last three years, real average hourly earnings are still down 2.4%. Thus, people are not feeling better.
• GDP (gross domestic product): Real gross domestic product has largely recovered. It increased 3.3% in the 4th quarter and consumer spending has remained relatively strong. It shifted from goods to services, but has held up overall even with the interest rate hikes thus far.
• Banking: There is concern about the regional banks. They hold most of the commercial real estate loans that will need to be refinanced at higher rates over the next few years. Also, bank’s liquidity requirements are driving concerns with the changing of bonds prices with the quick increase in interest rates.
• Geopolitical risk: Every expert mentioned concern around geopolitical risk. It will lead to inflationary pressures with reshoring, increased prices (for example, the Red Sea rates, diversion costs, and/or expedite costs), impact on energy prices, etc.

The bottom line can be summed up in with the misalignment of demand and supply, the shrinking workforce (with Baby Boomer retirements – by 2030, the youngest of the largest generation in history will be older than 65) combined with the divergent needs for high-skills vs low skills, and the emergence of high geopolitical risk. Thus, volatility and uncertainty will remain.

What Should We Take Away

Smart executives will take bold actions to ensure they can supply their key / ideal customers while pruning low margin/ non-value added customers. They are adding customer/ product profitability, pricing, and costing trends into their SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) processes to evaluate options, set strategy and make decisions.

They will invest in the best high-skilled resources, supplement with additional options (refer to our article, Where the Talent Has Gone, and create a high-performance culture. Strong leaders will be pivotal to ensuring success. People follow leaders; not companies.

Proactive clients are upgrading ERP systems to ensure the basic processes (blocking and tackling) are in place. Additionally, they are rolling out advanced technologies including artificial intelligence (AI) to automate, digitize and thrive. To read more about these strategies, refer to our article, Automate, Digitize and Thrive in Supply Chain. It will be cornerstone to success in the next decade.

Additionally, smart clients are upgrading business processes, cleaning up their data to better utilize their ERP and peripheral systems, and building flexibility and scalability into their future thinking. The core processes include demand planning, production planning, engineering (for engineer-to-order ETO and configure-to-order CTO companies), production and inventory control, and replenishment/ distribution planning processes. From a data perspective, it is important to review bills of materials, routings, work centers, item masters, customer and supplier masters, and MRP parameters. Proactive clients are ensuring the basics are intact and they are focusing on the roadmap to stay at least a few steps ahead of changing conditions.

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
Supply Chain Volatility, Risk & Capacity Remain Critical Priorities

The post The Economy, Outlook & Strategies for Success appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

According to Polaris Market Research, the market size of artificial intelligence (AI) in manufacturing is predicted to grow more than 41% during the next decade. Although the latest Sikich Industry Pulse found that less than 20% manufacturers have started to implement AI, the ones that want to thrive in the next decade are pursuing AI strategies that make sense to support their business objectives. AI can help manufacturers target where to focus and automate mundane tasks.

There are many uses for AI in manufacturing. A classic example is predictive maintenance. Instead of preventative maintenance, target where to maintain with predictive maintenance to maximize your efforts. Collaborative robots (cobots) work alongside people and often can perform tasks such as those requiring heavy lifting. Digital twins are virtual models of physical objects or layouts, and they can receive information about the object through sensors to get information about maintenance needs etc. On the software side, manufacturers are using robotic process automation (RPA) to handle high-volume, repetitive tasks that can be automated. 

For example, in working with a water tank manufacturer, we wanted to upgrade the use of ERP and start using MRP (material requirements planning) recommendations for purchasing. Before turning MRP on, we had to perform a cleanup of data and add routing data steps in the system. The team was lean, and it was estimated to take a few months to prepare for go-live. The executive team did not want to wait to improve service and increase efficiencies, and so a technical expert on the team used RPA to write a code to automate the setups. We completed the preparation in three days instead of three months and started gaining results.

Another application for AI in manufacturing is a lights-out factory which runs with robots. Although full lights-out factories are rare, this application is gaining momentum across the globe especially as workforce participation rates remain low, manufacturers realize they need to gain control of their success and are reshoring, and margins remain tight with high material and labor costs. Robots can operate around-the-clock without lunches, breaks, and workers compensation claims.

For example, an industrial manufacturing client struggled to find the talent to run its manufacturing operations. They couldn’t keep up with demand, employees were frustrated, and customers were unhappy. They purchased a robot to perform production in a key bottleneck area of the facility; however, the robots couldn’t produce around-the-clock because there was nowhere to store finished product on second and third shift without material handlers. Thus, the engineering team developed an automated way for the product to be moved from the point-of-production. Past due deliveries plummeted as the system came online.

AI is also prevalent in supply chain applications that support manufacturing success. For example, sales forecasting and demand planning is supported with AI algorithms to better predict demand. Even in the most industrial of manufacturers, demand patterns have been difficult to predict, creating a need for AI to get in front of demand. AI is also used in inventory management and to prevent bottlenecks and predict what’s needed.

AI requires proactive design so that you can limit expense and minimize the high-skilled resources required to go live. Start with a rapid assessment of your business requirements, process and technical infrastructure and resources. Select a pilot to test your plans and results will follow.

Originally published in Brushware Magazine, January / February 2024.

The post Integrate AI in Manufacturing to Raise the Bar appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.

Lisa Anderson was quoted in a SelectHub article when she warned that, in the area of attracting and retaining workforce talent, competitors will always try to steal your best employees.

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Manufacturing Trends 2024: Maintaining A Competitive Edge

What are the most essential manufacturing trends of 2024? I hate to burst your bubble, but this industry doesn’t just focus on AI, IoT, data mining or advanced manufacturing software.

We’re talking about the big-picture patterns that are shaping the future of manufacturing as we speak. This guide will tell you how to retain labor, keep a carbon-neutral work environment, maintain a positive reputation and more.

Key Takeaways

• Some ideal technologies for manufacturing include IoT, IIoT, AI and data mining.
• When adopting smart factories, there should be a harmonious balance between machines and humans.
• Top manufacturing process types include repetitive, discrete, process, continuous, job shop, 3D printing and more.
• Ideal ways to attract and retain manufacturing employees are giving them satisfactory work environments, liveable pay and benefits, training opportunities. and more.
• Because of the digital twin market’s resourcefulness across the manufacturing and PLM sectors, this market could hit $155.84 billion in value by 2030.

Top Trends for 2024

1. Attracting and Retaining Workforce Talent

Lisa Anderson, founder and president of LMA Consulting Group Inc., warned that competitors always try to steal the best employees.

Pay alone will not suffice. In our experience, the most important priority to retaining top talent is company culture and leadership. People do not follow companies. They follow leaders. Clients with leaders who appreciate talent, offer training and advancement opportunities, and are willing to address poor performers and tough topics are respected and successful. On the other hand, clients with volatile leaders are losing talent at a quick pace.”

To read the full article, click here.

The post Manufacturing Trends: Maintaining A Competitive Edge – SelectHub appeared first on LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm.