transportation Archives - LMA-Consulting Group, a supply chain consulting firm https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/tag/transportation/ Wed, 03 Apr 2024 05:33:34 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.5 PYMNTS: Supply Chain Chaos Threatens East Coast After Baltimore Bridge Collapse https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/pymnts-supply-chain-chaos-threatens-east-coast-after-baltimore-bridge-collapse/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/pymnts-supply-chain-chaos-threatens-east-coast-after-baltimore-bridge-collapse/#respond Wed, 03 Apr 2024 05:33:34 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=23727 When supply chains run smoothly, the economies they support do too. But when even the smallest disruption occurs, supply chains can quickly turn into the equivalent of a daisy chain — where one event sets off a cascading impact down the entire logistics value chain. Experts fear that this is what could happen up and [...]

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When supply chains run smoothly, the economies they support do too.

But when even the smallest disruption occurs, supply chains can quickly turn into the equivalent of a daisy chain — where one event sets off a cascading impact down the entire logistics value chain.

Experts fear that this is what could happen up and down the East Coast as businesses and shippers try to manage the fallout from the March 26 collapse of Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key Bridge as a result of a cargo ship collision.

“The impacts to the local region will be significant for several months or years until the bridge is rebuilt,” Lisa Anderson, founder and president of LMA Consulting Group, told PYMNTS in an interview. “Even once the port is reopened, trucks will continue to be re-routed around Baltimore, adding time and cost to trips from the port and through the Baltimore area.”

The Port of Baltimore itself remains closed to ships moving in or out until further notice, and officials are now faced with the task of removing the thousands of tons of steel and concrete clogging Maryland’s Patapsco River, while at the same time navigating the logistics of rerouting Baltimore-bound ships to other ports up and down the eastern seaboard.

The U.S. Coast Guard opened a temporary alternate channel Monday (April 1) for vessels that are helping with the cleanup effort.

“The most critical timeframe is clearing the bay to reopen the port, which could take weeks,” Anderson said. “This will impact the ninth biggest port in the U.S. and 3,200 sites involved in logistics, distribution and warehousing nearby the port and bridge as well as local businesses.”

 

Read more at PYMNTS site.

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LA Times: How will the Baltimore bridge collapse affect prices and the West Coast https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/la-times-how-will-the-baltimore-bridge-collapse-affect-prices-and-the-west-coast/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/la-times-how-will-the-baltimore-bridge-collapse-affect-prices-and-the-west-coast/#respond Mon, 01 Apr 2024 22:38:24 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=23709 The closure of the Port of Baltimore this week could have far-reaching implications all the way across the country for the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, according to several experts including Lisa Anderson of LMA Consulting Group.

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The collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge and the closure of the Port of Baltimore this week could have far-reaching implications all the way across the country for the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, according to several experts.

The bridge collapsed Tuesday about 1:30 a.m. when the Dali, a 985-foot-long cargo ship en route to Sri Lanka, crashed into one of the bridge’s support pillars shortly after losing power. It sent a majority of the bridge plummeting into the 50-foot-deep Patapsco River below, claiming the lives of at least two construction crew workers on the bridge; four others are missing and presumed dead.

In the short term, the closure of the Baltimore port will increase costs for businesses and consumers on the East Coast, said Lisa Anderson, founder of LMA Consulting Group, which specializes in supply chains and manufacturing. That’s because the container ships on their way to Baltimore will be diverted to nearby New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Virginia ports, and the products they’re carrying will have to change the arrangements previously made to be transported to wherever they need to go, Anderson said.

The closure will also affect warehouses and other logistics services, which will have to decide whether they want to switch to other facilities while officials work on reconstructing the bridge and reopening the port, Anderson said. Trucks will also have to be diverted from the Key bridge, meaning they’ll either have to go around the city or pass through tunnels, which have height, width and hazardous materials restrictions.

Longer term, ports in Los Angeles and Long Beach could see more activity, especially with drought conditions reducing the capacity of the Panama Canal, Anderson said. The shipping route from northeast Asia through the Suez Canal and to the East Coast of the U.S. has also become perilous because of the war in Gaza. The Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen have been attacking commercial ships going through the Suez Canal, resulting in shipping lines having to divert their vessels around the southern tip of Africa.

What that means is that the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach will see an increase of volume, translating to more activity for trucking companies as well as for warehousing and rail systems, Anderson said.

“That’s a positive, but we also need to make sure it’s not gonna become a new bottleneck,” she said. “These folks are adding time to their orders so they have to find new routes and we wanna make sure we’re prepared to service this additional volume.”

The closure of the Baltimore port could also lead to a “nominal” uptick in costs for the products that typically arrive there, such as cars and light trucks, Anderson said. The costs of diverted transportation will eventually be passed on to customers, but it’s not expected to be significant across the U.S., she said.

Read more at the LA Times

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How Baltimore’s Key Bridge collapse will affect supply chains and the economy https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/how-baltimores-key-bridge-collapse-will-affect-supply-chains-and-the-economy/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/how-baltimores-key-bridge-collapse-will-affect-supply-chains-and-the-economy/#respond Sat, 30 Mar 2024 03:35:50 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=23699 The Francis Scott Key Bridge now lies partially submerged in the Patapsco River after a catastrophic cargo ship collision this week. Here’s how the Key Bridge collapse may affect the port’s operation.

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The Francis Scott Key Bridge, once the second-longest continuous truss bridge in the U.S., now lies partially submerged in the Patapsco River after a catastrophic cargo ship collision this week.

“Will this Baltimore situation add a bunch of cost to the global supply chain? Well, no,” said Lisa Anderson, president of LMA Consulting Group. But with additional global complications, costs could compound.

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The Francis Scott Key Bridge, once the second-longest continuous truss bridge in the U.S., now lies partially submerged in the Patapsco River after a catastrophic cargo ship collision this week.

Two people were injured, and six others presumed dead. The ship and mangled debris from the bridge have formed a wall in the water, indefinitely blocking access in and out of the Port of Baltimore, the top domestic port for cars and a major hub for other goods, such as forest products, farm equipment and sugar.

Among the questions around what happens now is what the accident means for shipping and the economy.

The port handled a record amount of cargo last year. While President Joe Biden has said he intends for the federal government to rebuild the bridge, and called on Congress to support that effort, the port is directly responsible for about 15,000 jobs and generated $4.7 billion in economic value to the state of Maryland.

The bridge’s collapse stranded at least 10 vessels in the water and ships outside the blockage have had to reroute to other East Coast ports, such as Norfolk and New Jersey. For global shipping, this comes at a time when companies are contending with route disruptions along the Suez and Panama canals.

Here’s how the Key Bridge collapse may affect the port’s operation, the local economy and international supply chains.

  • What role does the Port of Baltimore play?
  • How long will shipping be suspended?
  • Will supply chains be interrupted?
  • What are potential long-term effects?
  • What about local and regional effects?

Read more at PBS News Hour site.

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Lisa Anderson, Supply Chain Expert Discusses Ripple Effects of the Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse on Global Supply Chains https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/lisa-anderson-supply-chain-expert-discusses-ripple-effects-of-the-francis-scott-key-bridge-collapse-on-global-supply-chains/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/lisa-anderson-supply-chain-expert-discusses-ripple-effects-of-the-francis-scott-key-bridge-collapse-on-global-supply-chains/#respond Thu, 28 Mar 2024 14:03:22 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=23704 Lisa Anderson emphasizes the profound and wide-ranging impacts on global supply chains. The bridge’s destruction not only disrupts local traffic and logistics but also sends shockwaves through international trade routes, highlighting the critical need for robust supply chain resilience strategies.

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CLAREMONT, CALIFORNIA – March 28, 2024 –  In the aftermath of the catastrophic collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, Lisa Anderson, MBA, CSCP, CLTD, President of LMA Consulting Group Inc., emphasizes the profound and wide-ranging impacts on global supply chains.  The bridge’s destruction not only disrupts local traffic and logistics but also sends shockwaves through international trade routes, highlighting the critical need for robust supply chain resilience strategies.

The incident, which tragically claimed lives and caused significant infrastructural damage, poses immediate challenges to the Baltimore port – the 5th largest container port on the U.S. East Coast. With the port effectively cut off, the repercussions extend far beyond the immediate delays and diversions. “This disaster underscores the interconnected nature of global supply chains and the cascading effects a single disruption can have,” Ms. Anderson notes. “It’s a stark reminder of why companies must prioritize flexibility, diversification and contingency planning.”

In response to the bridge collapse, Anderson advocates for the adoption of nearshoring, reshoring, friendly shoring and regional manufacturing strategies. These approaches not only mitigate risks but also enhance supply chain responsiveness and sustainability. “The current crisis highlights the vulnerabilities in our supply chains and the pressing need for strategic adjustments,” she states.

Drawing from her extensive experience in supply chain optimization, Anderson calls for a proactive stance with processes like Sales Inventory Operations Planning (SIOP) and the development of multiple backup plans. Her insights are informed by the broader context of recent disruptions, including drought conditions in the Panama Canal and geopolitical tensions affecting the Suez Canal. “In today’s volatile environment, a single backup is insufficient. Businesses must think several steps ahead to navigate and thrive amidst uncertainties,” Anderson asserts.

LMA Consulting remains at the forefront of guiding businesses through supply chain challenges, offering strategic insights and tools such as the Supply Chain Profitability Assessment. This tool encourages organizations to critically evaluate their supply chain operations, fostering agility and strategic foresight.

LMA Consulting specializes in guiding businesses through turbulent times with strategic formulation, comprehensive supply chain transformation and resilience-building solutions. For more insights, download Ms. Anderson’s eBook, SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning): Creating Predictable Revenue and EBITDA Growth.

About LMA Consulting Group – Lisa Anderson, MBA, CSCP, CLTD

Lisa Anderson is the founder and president of LMA Consulting Group, Inc., specializing in manufacturing strategy and end-to-end supply chain transformation.  A recognized supply chain thought leader, Ms. Anderson has been named a Top 40 B2B Tech Influencer by arketi group, a Top 16 ERP Expert to Follow by Washington-Frank, among the Top 10 Women in Supply Chain by Warner PR, in the top 55 Supply Chain & Logistics Experts by flexport, and a woman leader in Supply Chain by RateLinx.  Her primer, “I’ve Been Thinking.” offers strategies for creating bold customer promises and profits. An expert on the SIOP process, advancing innovation and enhancing supply chain resilience, Ms. Anderson is regularly interviewed and quoted by leading publications. For information, sign up for her Profit Through People® Newsletter or for a copy of her book, visit LMA-ConsultingGroup.com.                 

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Media Contact Kathleen McEntee | Kathleen McEntee & Associates, Ltd. | p. (760) 262 – 4080 | KMcEntee@KMcEnteeAssoc.com

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The Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse & Impacts in the Supply Chain https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/the-francis-scott-key-bridge-collapse-impacts-in-the-supply-chain/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/the-francis-scott-key-bridge-collapse-impacts-in-the-supply-chain/#respond Wed, 27 Mar 2024 14:52:41 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=23691 Horribly, a container ship collided with the Francis Scott Key Bridge, and much of the bridge collapsed. From a supply chain point of view, it has caused significant near-term impacts and extended disruptions in the region.

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Supply Chain Briefing

The Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse

The Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse

Horribly, a container ship collided with the Francis Scott Key Bridge, and much of the bridge collapsed. Cars went into the water, and it has become a deadly disaster. Our thoughts go out to the families impacted.

As we commented in Inc., from a supply chain point of view, it has caused significant near-term impacts and extended disruptions in the region. Transportation bottlenecks immediately emerged. Container ships, trucks, and rail were all impacted.

Port Impacts

It just so happens that the collapse of the bridge cut off the Baltimore port by in essence setting up a wall between the port and the Chesapeake Bay. The bridge’s collapse means that for the foreseeable future, it won’t be feasible to get to the container terminals. The port is likely to remain closed for several months and traffic diverted. This port is the 5th largest container port on the U.S. East Coast and the busiest port in the region for handling roll-on/ roll-off cargo such as cars, light trucks, construction and farm equipment, and more. The port also handled sugar, furniture, home appliances, coal, and other items.

Near-term, container ships will be diverted to nearby ports such as New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Virginia ports. There will be delays, congestion, and diversions. Most likely, these delays will be relatively short-term as they are absorbed to nearby ports; however, it is another disruption in the global supply chain with short-term and long-term implications. As we communicated in a recent article on the impacts of the drought conditions in the Panama Canal and container ship attacks in the Suez Canal (both impacting shipments from Northeast Asia to the East Coast), this is an additional disruption at the East Coast ports. Thus, some shippers are likely to divert to the West Coast ports and rail or truck product to the East Coast.

Regional Logistics Impacts

There are 3,200 sites involved in logistics, distribution and warehousing nearby the port and bridge. Thus, there will be severe near-term disruption in the region. The timing will be heavily dependent on how quickly the debris can be cleared to restore safe passage in the area. Some experts believe this task could be accomplished in the next 1-2 weeks whereas others say it could take months. With that said, with the ports closed and diversions underway, it will take time for the supply chain to level out.

Trucking Impacts

According to the American Trucking Associations (AMA), almost 4,900 trucks travel the bridge each day, with $28 billion in goods crossing each year. There are alternate routes; however, there are issues associated with several of the options. For example, the two tunnel options to cross Baltimore harbor cannot carry hazardous materials, and there are height and width restrictions on the tunnels. Thus, trucks will be diverted on I-695 on the western side of the city. These diversions will cause additional delays, diversions, and cost.

Industry Impacts

The auto industry will experience the most significant impacts because the Baltimore port is the top American port for the import and export of cars. BMW, Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz have facilities close to the port to handle vehicle shipments, and Mazda is had the highest dollar value of imports. The auto industry supply chain will be resilient but it will be another disruption after finally returning inventory to pre-pandemic levels.

The energy industry might experience disruption as well. There could be a disruption in coal supplies, gasoline and ethanol. The oil industry will have to find alternate routes for barge deliveries and/or pursue alternate modes of transportation (trucking). CSX transports imported coal and is communicating expected delays.

SIOP & Backups

It is quite clear that a single backup is no longer sufficient. You must proactively plan for likely risks and think 3 steps ahead of your competition to succeed in today’s global supply chain. SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning) is a process to align demand with supply. It provides visibility across the supply chain so that companies can take proactive actions to mitigate risks, source backup sources of supply, and pivot with changing circumstances. For example, there is significant regional manufacturing, reshoring, and nearshoring occurring. To learn more about these strategies, download our complimentary book, SIOP: Creating Predictable Revenue and EBITDA Growth.

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
How Do You Rate in Your Supply Chain?

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Inc.: Baltimore’s Business Community Grapples With Impact of Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/inc-baltimores-business-community-grapples-with-impact-of-francis-scott-key-bridge-collapse/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/inc-baltimores-business-community-grapples-with-impact-of-francis-scott-key-bridge-collapse/#respond Tue, 26 Mar 2024 07:48:01 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=23684 The Baltimore disaster is expected to further compound the stress already placed on the global freight system. “Container shipping traffic has already been quite disrupted, because of the drought going on in the Panama Canal–ships from there [are] going through the Suez Canal to come to the east coast of the U.S. from Northeast Asia,” says Lisa Anderson.

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The Baltimore disaster is expected to further compound the stress already placed on the global freight system. “Container shipping traffic has already been quite disrupted, because of the drought going on in the Panama Canal–ships from there [are] going through the Suez Canal to come to the east coast of the U.S. from Northeast Asia,” says Lisa Anderson, a supply chain expert and president of California-based LMA Consulting Group.

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Baltimore’s Business Community Grapples With Impact of Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse

For founders in the city, the loss of a Baltimore landmark is about more than missed income.

Early Tuesday morning, a cargo ship collided with Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore, immediately collapsing the structure and sending cars plunging into the Patapsco River.

The incident sparked waves of alarm throughout the country. In speeches, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and President Joe Biden pledged federal assistance in rebuilding efforts. There is no indication that foul play was the cause of the accident, according to the Baltimore’s FBI field office.

Rescue crews continued to search the area for six construction workers who were on the bridge when the Dali, a 948-foot cargo ship bound for Colombo, Sri Lanka, collided with a bridge pylon around 1:30am, according to multiple reports. Two additional construction workers had been rescued from the water, and one was taken to the hospital. No fatalities had been confirmed by Tuesday afternoon, officials said. The Dali, a Singapore-registered vessel, dropped anchor prior to impact after the ship lost propulsion, CNN reported. The Maritime Port Authority of Singapore, which confirmed the loss of propulsion to CNN, says it is in contact with the US Coast Guard and cooperating with investigations.

The National Transportation Safety Administration announced an investigation into the incident on Tuesday afternoon, noting it would probe whether the ship did in fact drop anchor prior to impact.

In addition to the psychological toll inflicted by a disaster, the bridge’s collapse has massive economic ramifications: Submerged in the river, the remnants of the bridge now block access to the Port of Baltimore, the ninth largest port in the United States. The detritus will cause a massive re-routing of all traffic heading to the Port of Baltimore to nearby ports on the northeastern seaboard, Lisa Anderson, a supply chain expert and founder of the LMA consulting group, explains to Inc.

Read the full article at Inc.

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This is how companies deal with the Red Sea crisis https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/this-is-how-companies-deal-with-the-red-sea-crisis/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/this-is-how-companies-deal-with-the-red-sea-crisis/#respond Thu, 08 Feb 2024 21:55:34 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=23317 This is how companies deal with the Red Sea crisis: planes, storage, and closest suppliers.

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Given the succession of unforeseen events in recent years, from the blockage of the Suez Canal by the Ever Given ship to the supply crisis during the pandemic, Lisa Anderson, president of supply chain consultancy LMA Consulting Group, believes that companies must be more proactive and take the initiative instead of simply reacting when something happens and it’s too late. “That means establishing alliances and regional supply sources, better planning inventories and being at the forefront of technological advances.”

Lisa Anderson was quoted in EL PAÍS.

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This is how companies deal with the Red Sea crisis: planes, storage, and closest suppliers

The impact on inflation still seems limited, and major stock outages are not expected, but experts and those affected agree that the key will be the duration of the conflict.

The rain of drones loaded with explosives and Houthi missiles on merchant ships in the Red Sea has turned the once boring and reliable maritime industry into a focus of uncertainty and negative surprises , with unexpected delays due to route changes, cost overruns due to the increase in the cost of freight, and sky-high insurance against the possibility that the cargo never reaches its destination. It is exactly the opposite of what companies intend in this way, which place their orders months in advance so that they can be delivered on time by heavy container ships, slower but cheaper and with more cargo capacity than airplanes.

As the crisis becomes more chronic, the list of those affected continues to grow. The sources consulted point out that despite the magnitude of the detour of the ships, forced to avoid the Suez Canal and make a detour around the Cape of Good Hope that implies at least nine more days of travel, the impact is not yet dramatic or for global economic growth or inflation. “The first estimates suggest for now that the impact of the Red Sea crisis on inflation will be moderate, with an additional rise of a few tenths this year and an impact mainly focused on imported goods,” explains Ángel Talavera, chief economist for Europe at Oxford Economics. The Bank of Spain also lowers the volume of the shock: it believes that fragile global demand and the absence of congestion in the logistics industry will prevent the traffic jams of yesteryear.

The key word, however, is that still : if the US and EU military missions do not achieve their objective of returning security to the area, the consequences could be very costly. At the moment, they already involve uncomfortable surcharges and hasty adaptations. This is the case of automobile companies, with a supply chain based on the just-in-time model , and less accustomed to storage. “Some automotive suppliers installed in Spain are being affected by delays in the components or raw materials necessary to manufacture them, as well as an increase in costs by having to resort to air transport instead,” the employers say Sernauto.

The crisis cabinets have not stopped meeting to minimize the blow. “Being a tremendously flexible and resilient industry, they are already adopting measures such as increasing stocks , readjusting transit times, advancing orders to suppliers and contingency plans,” adds Sernauto. Companies such as Tesla, Volvo and Michelin have already announced temporary stoppages in some of their production plants in Europe due to not having the materials they need on time. This will translate into thousands of fewer cars manufactured, between 5,000 and 7,000 in the case of Tesla and the pause of one of its factories in Germany.

“Non-urgent orders are being postponed, the key variable is the duration,” say sources from the business association CEOE. Talavera agrees. “The precedent of 2021-22 tells us that there are risks of an exponentially higher impact if the crisis is sustained over time and the blockade begins to create disruptions in supply chains. “Europe imports liquefied gas from Qatar, which crosses through the Suez Canal, and a significant part of oil traffic could also be affected.”

More expensive freight and insurance

The large consumer association Aecoc warns that the impact is already significant in sectors such as food, textiles and fashion, hardware and DIY or technological consumer goods, with freight rates that in some cases have become “300%” more expensive. which adds to the higher premiums requested by insurers, who sometimes even refuse to cover the risk of shipments.

Even so, the employers assure that for now there will be no shortage of stocks , that is, that shortages will be avoided. “In recent weeks, companies have focused their efforts on anticipating purchases of raw materials, looking for new suppliers in closer geographic areas and managing their supply through new routes and other means of transportation as an alternative to maritime transportation,” they point out.

From the Spanish Federation of Food and Beverage Industries (FIAB), they detect that warnings are growing for companies that import to increase their safety stock due to expected delays, and they perceive that the merchandise in warehouse is expanding due to the greater transit times. As more time is spent at sea and less available, the difficulties in obtaining space also increase, despite the fact that the number of new boats sailing has grown in recent months. “The direct impact is on the routes with Asia and the Middle East, but there is also an indirect impact on the route between Europe and America due to the shortage of containers and ships,” FIAB sources say.

The perfect storm is completed by the celebration of the Chinese New Year in February, a period that historically involves a slowdown in production, limited transportation operations and supply chain disruptions. And with the problems in another key artery, the Panama Canal, which has limited the passage of ships due to a severe drought. “Container ships are also diverting to the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, and transporting those shipments across the US to the East Coast. Air freight is increasing for urgent shipments and manufacturers are experiencing delays,” explains Lisa Anderson, president of supply chain consultancy LMA Consulting Group.

Given the succession of unforeseen events in recent years, from the blockage of the Suez Canal by the Ever Given ship to the supply crisis during the pandemic, Anderson believes that companies must be more proactive and take the initiative instead of simply reacting when something happens and it’s too late. “That means establishing alliances and regional supply sources, better planning inventories and being at the forefront of technological advances.”

Minor impact to the pandemic

The investment manager Federated Hermes expects that the economic impact of the interruptions will be accentuated in the first two months of the year because cheaper trips contracted before the attacks in Israel are replaced by current ones at higher rates. In context, the cost overruns are even lower than those of the supply crisis closest in time. “The recent increases in container shipping rates are significant, but do not come close to the sharp increases in 2020 and 2021 during the covid-19 pandemic.”

Then, as now, shipping companies were the big beneficiaries , multiplying their income and reaping increases in profits accompanied by strong increases in the stock market. On the losing side of the Red Sea crisis, the insurer Crédito y Caución places European manufacturers in first place. “They import a wide range of intermediate goods from Asia-Pacific, such as electrical equipment, high-tech goods, rubber and plastics, chemicals and machinery. If the crisis continues, waiting times, prices and congestion at ports are likely to increase. This may accelerate the return to a greater willingness to maintain higher inventory levels out of an abundance of caution,” they note.

See the original article here.

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Houthi attacks on ships escalate: Experts look to COVID supply chain lessons https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/houthi-attacks-on-ships-escalate-experts-look-to-covid-supply-chain-lessons/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/houthi-attacks-on-ships-escalate-experts-look-to-covid-supply-chain-lessons/#respond Wed, 24 Jan 2024 17:22:01 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=23214 Supply chain disruptions are nothing new for the shipping industry. The COVID-19 pandemic presented an unprecedented challenge for the industry. Lisa Anderson comments on the disruptions arising from the current Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and the implications.

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Lisa Anderson, a supply chain expert and president of California-based LMA Consulting Group, says that in the past, shippers, vessel operators and manufacturers may have waited too long to properly evaluate an emerging threat such as COVID-19 or the Houthis, when taking action sooner would have been prudent.

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As Houthi attacks on ships escalate, experts look to COVID supply chain lessons

An upsurge in attacks on commercial ships by Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in the Red Sea threatens to disrupt the global supply chain as vessels are forced to reroute around Africa to avoid the conflict zone. Normally, about 15% of the world’s trade passes through the Red Sea, and delays and escalating insurance costs are hitting industries such as petroleum, food and electronics.

Manufacturers have already experienced some problems in getting parts to assembly floors, and both Tesla and Volvo last week blamed the Red Sea troubles for delays at plants in Europe.

But shipping industry experts hope lessons learned during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Suez Canal disruption in 2021 and Somali pirate attacks more than a decade ago will help mitigate widespread problems this time, should the conflict widen in the Red Sea.

Since October, the Houthis have targeted several ships on the Red Sea with ballistic missiles and drones and have hijacked others near the entrance to the vital corridor at the Bab-el-Mandeb strait. The Houthis have said their attacks are in response to Israel’s air and ground assault on Gaza, which has killed nearly 25,000 Palestinians, according to Gaza’s Health Ministry. The military campaign in Gaza followed the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas that Israel says killed 1,200 people.

The U.S., leading a maritime coalition involving more than 20 countries, according to the Defense Department, has launched airstrikes against the Houthis to secure the waterway.

Supply chain disruptions are nothing new for the shipping industry. The COVID-19 pandemic presented an unprecedented challenge for the industry — with vessels stuck at ports waiting to load goods even as freight rates skyrocketed from a lack of capacity and quarantined consumers ordered everything online. Also in the Red Sea, the giant Ever Given container vessel became lodged in the Suez Canal in 2021, halting all traffic through that vital area for nearly a week. And more than a decade ago, Somali piracy was a major concern for shippers as well.

 

Read more at NPR here.

 

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Supply Chain Optimization Remains a Priority as the Panama Canal Worsens https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/supply-chain-optimization-remains-a-priority-as-the-panama-canal-worsens/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/supply-chain-optimization-remains-a-priority-as-the-panama-canal-worsens/#respond Wed, 20 Dec 2023 15:31:01 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=22979 40% of the goods movement from Northeast Asia to the U.S. East Coast go through the Panama Canal, and so the Panama Canal issues are driving shortages, late deliveries, and re-routing of goods.

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Supply Chain Briefing

Supply Chain Optimization Remains a Priority as the Panama Canal Worsens

Supply chain optimization must remain a priority as disruptions continue. For example, although the Panama Canal started experiencing issues in the summer (refer to our article for details), it has been worsening lately. 40% of the goods movement from Northeast Asia to the U.S. East Coast go through the Panama Canal, and so the Panama Canal issues are driving shortages, late deliveries, and re-routing of goods.

Panama Canal Issues Worsen

Drought conditions are creating a new round of disruptions:

  • Reduced container ships: by > 50% (from 40 to 32 earlier in 2023 to 25 Nov, 20 Jan & 18 Feb). 
  • Restrictions on ship draft: to a maximum ship draft to 44 feet (vs. 50 feet) – requiring larger ships to sail light or unload, rail across & reload 
  • Capacity restrictions: Neopanamax locks (handling larger ships) restricting to capacity by 50% (from 10 to 5 per day)
  • Gas container ship impacts: LNG and VLGCs (very large gas carrier) will experience the greatest impact since deprioritized 

Inflation impacts: Creating inflationary pressures, shortages and delays. Some ships paying up to $4M to go to the head of the line

The China Risk

In addition to the disruptions to the Panama Canal, there are other risks associated with the Panama Canal. Hutchison controls the terminals at both ends of the Panama Canal. Thus, if China wants to “control” the flow through the Panama Canal, they can do so via Hutchison. It is an important risk to consider.

Responses to the Panama Canal Issues

Proactive executives are not waiting to see how this turns out. They are pivoting. Several of the actions include the following:

  • Alternate routes: Depending on the start and end point, companies are pursuing different routes. These include the Suez Canal and sailing around the southern tip of Africa or South America.  
  • Alternate modes of transportation: Depending on urgency, and start/ end points, companies are using air freight, rail etc.
  • Alternate routes & modes of transportation: Companies are also going to an alternate U.S. port and sending product via rail or truck to its destination.
  • Moving and/or reallocating manufacturing: Companies are certainly pursuing reshoring, nearshoring, and expanding manufacturing to minimize risks and shorten lead times. In addition, if they have multiple facilities and/or contract manufacturers, they are proactively moving manufacturing to support customer needs and mitigate risks.
  • Forward position inventory: Depending on the manufacturing and distribution network, clients are also positioning inventory close to customers so that they can absorb additional disruptions without impacting customers.
  • Change distribution network: Clients are also moving and expanding their distribution networks to better support customers. They are doing this in creative ways, sometimes partnering with customers, suppliers, and competitors.

The key is to proactively address these issues to mitigate the impacts to the customer and cost, and longer term, to revise your manufacturing and supply chain footprint and network to best support profitable growth and mitigate risk.

If you are interested in reading more on this topic:
Supply Chains are on the Move

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Lisa Anderson, Manufacturing & Supply Chain Expert Emphasizes Urgent Need for Supply Chain Optimization Amidst Ongoing Global Disruptions https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/lisa-anderson-manufacturing-supply-chain-expert-emphasizes-urgent-need-for-supply-chain-optimization-amidst-ongoing-global-disruptions/ https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/lisa-anderson-manufacturing-supply-chain-expert-emphasizes-urgent-need-for-supply-chain-optimization-amidst-ongoing-global-disruptions/#respond Wed, 20 Dec 2023 15:03:50 +0000 https://www.lma-consultinggroup.com/?p=22999 Lisa Anderson emphasizes the critical necessity of prioritizing supply chain optimization as global disruptions continue. Key issues, such as the worsening conditions at the Panama Canal, have been highlighted as significant contributors to the ongoing supply chain crisis.

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CLAREMONT, CALIFORNIA – December 20, 2023 –  Manufacturing and Supply Chain Consultant Lisa Anderson, MBA, CSCP, CLTD and President of LMA Consulting Group Inc., emphasizes the critical necessity of prioritizing supply chain optimization as global disruptions continue. Key issues, such as the worsening conditions at the Panama Canal, have been highlighted as significant contributors to the ongoing supply chain crisis. LMA Consulting Group specializes in supporting manufacturers and distributors in strategic planning and comprehensive supply chain transformation, focusing on enhancing the customer experience and robust business growth.

The Panama Canal, a critical passage for 40% of the goods moving from Northeast Asia to the U.S. East Coast, is experiencing severe disruptions that are intensifying supply chain challenges globally:

  • Drastic Reduction in Container Ship Capacity: A decrease in container ships by more than 50%.
  • Draft Restrictions: Limitation of the maximum ship draft to 44 feet, necessitating larger vessels to sail light or undergo complex reloading processes.
  • Capacity Cuts at Neopanamax Locks: A halving of the daily capacity, now limited to 45 ships per day.
  • Impact on Gas Container Ships: LNG and VNLCs face significant operational challenges and delays.
  • Inflationary Pressures: These disruptions are contributing to inflation and causing delays, with some ships incurring costs of up to $4MM for expedited transit.

In addition, the control of the Panama Canal terminals by Hutchison, a company with connections to China, presents a potential geopolitical risk. This, coupled with the most recent challenges for ships going through the Suez Canal, will impact the flow of goods, posing additional layers of risk for global supply chains.

“There are proactive measures that companies can take,” noted Ms. Anderson. “Alternate routes, diverse transportation modes, manufacturing and distribution adjustments and inventory strategies can proactively address challenges and minimize impacts on customers and costs.  In the long term, revising the manufacturing and supply chain footprint is essential for sustainable growth and risk mitigation,” she said.

For deeper insights into navigating the complex landscape of global supply chains, download Ms. Anderson’s special report The Road Ahead: Business, Supply Chain & The World Order and her eBook SIOP (Sales Inventory Operations Planning): Creating Predictable Revenue and EBITDA Growth.

About LMA Consulting Group – Lisa Anderson, MBA, CSCP, CLTD

Lisa Anderson is the founder and president of LMA Consulting Group, Inc., specializing in manufacturing strategy and end-to-end supply chain transformation.  Ms. Anderson is a recognized Supply Chain thought leader by SelectHub, named a Top 40 B2B Tech Influencer by arketi group, a Top 16 ERP Expert to Follow by Washington-Frank, in the Top 10 Women in Supply Chain by Warner PR, in the top 55 Supply Chain & Logistics Experts by flexport, and a woman leader in Supply Chain by RateLinx.  Her primer, I’ve Been Thinking, provides strategies for creating bold customer promises and profits. An expert on the SIOP process (Sales, Inventory Operations Planning), advancing innovation, and making the supply chain resilient, Ms. Anderson is regularly interviewed and quoted by publications such as Industry Week, Bloomberg, Fox News and The Wall Street Journal. For information, sign up for her Profit Through People® Newsletter or for a copy of her book, visit LMA-ConsultingGroup.com.

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Media Contact Kathleen McEntee | Kathleen McEntee & Associates, Ltd. | p. (760) 262 – 4080 | KMcEntee@KMcEnteeAssoc.com

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